Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals Prediction – 7/1/2025

The Detroit Tigers will travel to Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. Detroit is tied with the LA Dodgers for the best record in baseball coming into this game. Meanwhile, the Nationals have struggled to find any sort of consistent winning formula. With first-place Detroit (53‑32) squaring off against last-place Washington (35‑49), this series opener will be an interesting one. As Jack Flaherty faces Trevor Williams on the bump, keep reading to get my Tigers vs Nationals prediction.

Our Tigers vs Nationals Pick

Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline
Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Detroit Tigers @ Washington Nationals
• Date & Time: Tuesday, July 1, 2025 – 6:45 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers: Jack Flaherty (5‑9, 4.80 ERA, 1.23 WHIP) vs Trevor Williams (3‑9, 5.65 ERA, 1.47 WHIP)
• Stadium: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
• Broadcast: MASN2, FDSDET

Key Storylines

Pitching form

Jack Flaherty has shown flashes of brilliance, recording 100 strikeouts across 84.1 innings. But he has struggled to pitch at a high level consistently in 2025. He has a 5-9 record and a 4.80 ERA and is always vulnerable to struggles even against teams like the Nats. Washington’s Trevor Williams has been hit hard all season, posting a 5.65 ERA and 1.47 WHIP.

Bullpen usage

The Nationals’ bullpen is the worst in MLB with a 5.93 bullpen ERA, having collapsed in late innings multiple times, including allowing six runs in the seventh during a recent loss to the Angels. Manager Dave Martinez has admitted to stretched arms and a lack of depth. Detroit’s bullpen has been more reliable, though they’ll need to finish strong against a Washington offense that can erupt.

Recent team streaks

• Detroit has won 5 of their last 7 games, carrying strong offensive metrics like a .256 batting average, .325 OBP, and averaging 5.0 runs per game.
• Washington just snapped a 10‑game losing streak two weeks ago and has alternated wins and losses since. They’ve not won back‑to‑back games since late May.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• Detroit is 21‑7 as favorites at −158 or shorter; Washington is 15‑18 ATS as +134 dogs or longer.
• Head-to-head in their last 10 games, Tigers hold a slight edge in recent season meetings with the Nats.
• Detroit is 36‑26 vs RHP this season, while the Nationals are 27‑35 vs RHP.

Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals Model Projection

Score Projection: Detroit 6 – Washington 4

Win Probability: Detroit 56%, Washington 44%

Final Thoughts

The Tigers enter this matchup with more momentum, stronger overall metrics, and a deeper pitching staff. Flaherty’s strikeout ability should neutralize Washington’s weak offense, while Detroit’s reliable run production means they shouldn’t be tripped up by the runline. The Nationals’ bullpen remains a liability and Williams likely won’t match up with Detroit’s lineup. I will take the Tigers to get the win tonight.