Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Picks 8/8/2024

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Details

• Date: August 8, 2024
• Venue: T-Mobile Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Undecided - Tigers
  • Bryan Woo - Mariners

Betting Odds

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

As the Seattle Mariners prepare to host the Detroit Tigers on August 8, 2024, both teams find themselves in the midst of a challenging season. The Mariners sit at 59-56, performing slightly above average, while the Tigers are struggling at 55-60, marking them as having a below-average record. This matchup takes place at T-Mobile Park, with the Mariners looking to solidify their standing as they compete in an American League showdown.

In their last game, the Mariners faced off against the Tigers, in a game where the Tigers managed to secure a victory. Seattle’s Bryan Woo is projected to take the mound, boasting a solid 5-1 record and an excellent ERA of 2.08. Woo, who ranks as the 48th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, has proven to be a significant asset for the Mariners, despite projections indicating he may face challenges going forward. He is set to pitch an average of 5.3 innings while allowing just 1.8 earned runs.

Conversely, the Tigers have yet to decide on a starting pitcher for this contest. They could either bring a spot starter into the equation to try and eat up as many innings as possible, or go with a full bullpen day with an opener who is destined to pitch just a couple of innings. Either way, the Tigers are not looking at an ideal pitching situation today.

Notably, the Mariners' offense ranks 26th in MLB, mainly struggling with batting average. However, their strength in home runs and the presence of players like Luke Raley, who has shined recently, could provide the necessary support for Woo on the mound. The projections lean in favor of the Mariners, indicating they should score approximately 4.16 runs, against a low estimate of just 3.37 runs for the Tigers. With the Game Total set at a mere 7.0 runs, this contest is shaping up to be a tight battle.

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

Over the past 7 days, Matt Vierling's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Detroit's 88.4-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in the majors: #21 overall.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Quick Takes Seattle Mariners:

In his last outing, Bryan Woo was firing on all cylinders and allowed 0 ER.

• A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.

Victor Robles's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 87.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 78.9-mph over the last 7 days.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 51 games at home (+15.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 50% ROI)

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

Final Score: Detroit Tigers 3.37 vs Seattle Mariners 4.16

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