Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Prediction – 9/9/2025
The New York Yankees will host the Detroit Tigers in a game with huge playoff implications in the American League on Tuesday night. The Tigers are well on their way to winning the AL Central and the Yankees are at the top of the AL Wild Card standings. New York will try to move closer to the top of the AL East with a win here. Before the first pitch from the Bronx, I bring you my Tigers vs Yankees prediction below.
Our Tigers vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: Yankees moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Teams: Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees
- Date & Time: Tuesday, September 9, 2025, 7:05 p.m.
- Starting Pitchers: Casey Mize vs Will Warren
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: TBS
Key Storylines
- Detroit sits atop the AL Central and turns to All-Star righty Casey Mize on regular rest to pitch in this game.
- New York just clinched a series over the Blue Jays to tighten the AL East race. New York is two games back of Toronto and will look to get another win to move closer to the Jays with a win here.
- Aaron Judge is back in right field and pacing MLB in OPS, while Cody Bellinger and Ben Rice have provided timely extra-base hits this month.
- Detroit’s lineup leans on Riley Greene’s power and Spencer Torkelson’s steady pop, with depth pieces like Dillon Dingler and Zach McKinstry contributing.
Pitching matchup
Casey Mize has delivered a quality season for Detroit, using a firm four-seam fastball and splitter to limit barrel contact. He enters at 13-5 with a 3.87 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in 125.2 innings. His approach has emphasized strike throwing and early contact, which keeps him efficient but can expose him to power if he falls behind in the count. This assignment is tricky in a park that punishes flyball contact to the right side.
Will Warren is 8-6 with a 4.28 ERA and 153 strikeouts in 141.0 innings. Warren has been steadier in the Bronx with an ERA that is better at home than on the road. Detroit’s order is balanced, though Greene and Torkelson are the primary righty-split threats he must navigate. If Warren lands sliders early and keeps the sinker at the knees, he should be good for 5-6 competitive innings.
Recent team streaks
- Detroit lost two of three games to the lowly Chicago White Sox in their most recent series.
- The Yankees have won three of their last four games and will try to stay hot in this contest.
Best Player Props
| Category | Player | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Total Bases | Aaron Judge | Over 1.5 TB |
| Home Run | Spencer Torkelson | To hit a HR |
| Strikeouts | Will Warren | Over 5.5 K |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Tigers have won two out of three games they’ve played against the Yankees this season.
- Two out of the three games between these teams this season have gone under the total.
- Detroit enters this series at 36-33 on the road.
- New York is 43-29 at home in 2025.
Tigers vs Yankees Model Projection
Score Projection: Tigers 4 – Yankees 5
Win Probability: Tigers 46% – Yankees 54%
Final Thoughts
The Yankees are playing better baseball than Detroit of late and they should continue their winning ways at home in this contest. New York will keep the pressure on the Blue Jays with a win in this matchup thanks to a strong performance from Will Warren, who has been a huge help for the Yankees after all of the injuries to their pitching staff.
