Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction – 8/15/2025
The Detroit Tigers will look to build on a 4-3 extra-innings victory over the Minnesota Twins when they play again on Friday night. Detroit aims to make it two straight over their division rivals. But they won’t have the services of Tarik Skubal after the reigning AL Cy Young winner pitched yesterday. Here, I give you my breakdown of this AL Central matchup, including my Tigers vs Twins prediction.
Our Tigers vs Twins Pick
- Pick: Detroit Tigers to win
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
- Date & Time: Friday, August 15, 2025 – 8:10 pm ET
- Starting Pitchers: Charlie Morton vs Pierson Ohl
- Stadium: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: MNNT and FDSDET
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Detroit turns to veteran Charlie Morton on the mound. He enters with a 5.48 ERA and mixed recent results. Morton still has a high ceiling when he is at his best but he has been the victim of inconsistency throughout the year. The Twins will counter with Pierson Ohl. Ohl is 0-2 and has a 7.11 ERA in just 11.1 innings of work. He has given up four home runs in his short time on the bump this year.
Key Players
Detroit’s offense leans heavily on Riley Greene. His clutch hitting delivered both the tying and winning runs in their previous win. Byron Buxton is in the spotlight for Minnesota. Buxton has been solid at the plate and leads his team in home runs, RBI, and batting average.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Tigers have won two games in a row and four of their last five.
- The Twins have lost three of their last four games heading into Friday night.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Riley Greene | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Spencer Torkelson | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Tigers hold a 6-4 lead in their season series against the Twins.
- Minnesota has covered the runline in three straight games against the Tigers.
- Road teams are 6-4 in the 10 games played between these teams this season.
Tigers vs Twins Model Projection
Score Projection: Detroit Tigers 4 – Minnesota Twins 2
Win Probability: Tigers 55%, Twins 45%
Final Thoughts
Both teams could have some issues with their starting pitching in this matchup. Morton is certainly not a trustworthy arm for the Tigers at this stage of his career. But Morton is much more trustworthy than Ohl, who I expect to struggle again in this game. I’ll take the Tigers to get the win on the road for the second straight game against the Twins.
