Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction – 8/14/2025
AL Central rivals will open a four-game series on Thursday when the Detroit Tigers visit the Minnesota Twins. The Tigers will send their ace to the mound in this contest and they are heavy favorites as a result of Tarik Skubal’s presence on the mound. Before the Twins try to take down Skubal, continue reading to get my Tigers vs Twins prediction for Thursday night.
Our Tigers vs Twins Pick
- Pick: Detroit Tigers -1.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
- Date & Time: Thursday, August 14, 2025, 7:40 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Tarik Skubal (DET) vs Bailey Ober (MIN)
- Stadium: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: MNNT, FDSDET
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Tarik Skubal might be the best pitcher in all of Major League Baseball right now. He has an 11-3 record with a 2.35 ERA and 187 strikeouts over 145.1 innings this season. His dominance on the mound has been a cornerstone of Detroit’s success this season. Minnesota’s Bailey Ober holds a 4-7 record with a 5.16 ERA and 82 strikeouts in 103 innings. Skubal gives the Tigers a massive advantage in the starting pitching department in this game.
Playoff Picture
The Detroit Tigers are in first place in the AL Central going into this series. They are a half-game behind the Toronto Blue Jays in the race for the best record in the American League. The pressure is on Detroit to continue to win games in order to overtake the Blue Jays in the race for home-field advantage. Minnesota comes into this game 6.5 games back of the final Wild Card spot in the American League.
Recent Team Streaks
The Tigers have won three of their last four games going into this series opener. Two of those wins have come by one run. The Twins dropped two out of three games in their most recent series against the New York Yankees on the road.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Riley Greene | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Byron Buxton | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Tarik Skubal | Over 7.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Tigers are 5-4 against the Twins so far this season.
- Detroit is 31-28 on the road for the season.
- Minnesota has a 32-25 record at Target Field in 2025.
- The Tigers are 21-12 against division opponents this season.
- Minnesota is 16-18 against AL Central opponents.
Tigers vs Twins Model Projection
- Score Projection: Tigers 5 – Twins 3
- Win Probability: Tigers 60%, Twins 40%
Final Thoughts
It would take a lot more than the Minnesota Twins to get me to bet against the Tigers with Tarik Skubal on the mound. Detroit has won three of the four games that Skubal has started since the All-Star break. Skubal is second in the league in ERA this year and I expect him to lead the Tigers to a win by at least two runs on Thursday.
