Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins Prediction – 9/14/2025

Detroit wraps its weekend set in Miami with a Sunday afternoon first pitch that offers fresh betting opportunities after a whirlwind 48 hours. Detroit’s ace left Friday with an apparent side issue, Saturday featured a veteran-on-vet duel, and now Sunday’s projected starters will add a layer of intrigue to this contest. Continue reading to get my thoughts on this interleague matchup, including my Tigers vs Marlins prediction.

Our Tigers vs Marlins Pick

• Pick: Detroit -1.5
• Confidence: 4/5
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4.8/5

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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins
• Date and Time: Sunday, September 14, 2025, 1:40 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers: Undecided (Tigers) vs Adam Mazur (Marlins)
• Stadium: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
• Broadcast: MLB.TV

Key Storylines

• Tarik Skubal exited Friday with an apparent side issue, pushing added importance onto Detroit’s other starters and their bullpen. Sunday’s projection points to Chris Paddack stepping in, but that has not been confirmed yet by Detroit.
• Detroit’s lineup has surged this week with two blowout wins at New York highlighted by late-inning power from Riley Greene, Kerry Carpenter, and Colt Keith. Gleyber Torres has added on-base quality and situational contact since arriving.
• Miami turns to Adam Mazur, a live-armed righty still finding consistency at this level, supported by a bullpen that has been volatile in recent weeks.

Pitching matchup

• The starting pitcher for this game has not been decided upon by the Tigers just yet. They will attempt to figure that out and get a win here as they search for the top spot in the American League.
• Adam Mazur of the Marlins is 0-3 with a 6.30 ERA in 20 innings this season. His big league sample size is small, but his arsenal features a firm four-seamer, a developing sweeper, and a changeup that he can sometimes struggle to locate. Command lapses have inflated pitch counts and set up traffic on the bases against him.

Recent team streaks

• The Tigers have lost three games in a row coming into this contest and they will look to get back on track with a win.
• Miami has won four straight games coming into this series finale with the Tigers.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• The Marlins hold a 2-0 lead in their season series against the Tigers.
• This is the last time this season that Detroit and Miami will meet on the diamond.
• The first two games in this series have both seen 10 total runs scored.

Tigers vs Marlins Model Projection

Score Projection: Detroit 5 – Miami 3

Win Probability: Detroit 60%, Miami 40%

Final Thoughts

With Detroit’s offense being as dangerous as it is, I think they will do enough scoring to avoid a loss to the Marlins no matter who they choose to put on the mound today. I recommend laying the runline with the Tigers, who should get another huge win for their playoff prospects today.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.