Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Pick – 7/5/2025
The Detroit Tigers are riding high after a 2–1 win over the Cleveland Guardians on July 4, powered by two solo homers and strong bullpen work. Game 2 of the series gives Detroit another chance to extend its lead atop the AL Central. I break down this division matchup and determine if I think the Tigers will get the job done again with my Tigers vs Guardians prediction for tonight. Casey Mize is enjoying an excellent 2025 campaign, with an 8–2 record and a 2.86 ERA. He’s been so valuable as a reliable arm behind the great Tarik Skubal for the top team in the American League. Cleveland’s Logan Allen is 5–6 with a 4.27 ERA. Allen surrendered three runs in six innings his last time out. Detroit’s bullpen was pivotal in securing yesterday’s win, with three relievers combining for 4.2 innings of shutout ball, and closer Will Vest recording his 14th save. Cleveland’s bullpen was strong as well, throwing three scoreless innings on Friday. Score Projection: Detroit 5 – Cleveland 3 Win Probability: Detroit 64%, Cleveland 36% Detroit enters tonight’s game with the American League’s best record. Casey Mize’s elite form and a deep bullpen should help them to get yet another win on the road today. Cleveland’s losing streak will go to nine games in a row, while I also expect Mize to hit the over on his strikeout prop for those looking to assemble a Same Game Parlay.Our Tigers vs Guardians Pick
Game Snapshot
Key Storylines
Pitching Form
Bullpen Usage
Recent Team Streaks
Best Player Props
Player Prop Odds Riley Greene (DET) Over 0.5 RBIs +145 Jose Ramirez (CLE) Over 1.5 Hits +185 Casey Mize (DET) Over 4.5 strikeouts +105 Logan Allen (CLE) Under 4.5 strikeouts -135 Betting Trends & H2H
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Model Projection
Final Thoughts
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