Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox Prediction – 8/11/2025
The Detroit Tigers and Chicago White Sox are on opposite ends of the AL Central standings. The first-place Tigers will look to extend their lead on the rest of the division by beating the last-place White Sox at Rate Field on Monday night. Before these teams do battle on the diamond, keep reading to get my analysis for this game, including my Tigers vs White Sox prediction.
Our Tigers vs White Sox Pick
- Pick: Detroit Tigers moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox
- Date & Time: Monday, August 11, 2025, at 7:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Chris Paddack (Tigers) vs Elvis Peguero (White Sox)
- Stadium: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: CHSN and FDSDET
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Both starting pitchers have identical 4.91 ERAs coming into this game. Detroit’s Chris Paddack is 4-10 and has pitched 121 innings so far this year. His sample size is much larger than that of Chicago starter Elvis Peguero. Peguero has pitched just 7.1 innings this season and could have his hands full against a potent Detroit lineup tonight.
Key Players
- Detroit: Kerry Carpenter hit a home run and knocked in three runs for the Tigers in their win over the Angels on Sunday. He will be a key for Detroit’s offense again tonight.
- Chicago: Lenyn Sosa leads the White Sox in both batting average and RBI. Chicago will need him to be great to pull an upset here.
Recent team streaks
- Detroit won two out of three over the Los Angeles Angels over the weekend.
- The White Sox lost two of three to the Cleveland Guardians. But Chicago did win the final game of that series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Riley Greene | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Gleyber Torres | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Lenyn Sosa | Over 0.5 RBI |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Tigers lead the season series against the White Sox 5-2 going into Monday’s game.
- The Tigers went over the total in all three of their games against the Angels in their last series.
- Chicago is 25-34 at Rate Field so far this season.
- Detroit is 29-27 on the road this year.
Tigers vs White Sox Model Projection
Score Projection: Tigers 6 – White Sox 4
Win Probability: Tigers 60%, White Sox 40%
Final Thoughts
The Tigers might not be playing the same level of baseball that they were earlier in the season when they had the best record in the league. But Detroit should still be able to get the job done on the road in this series opener with the White Sox. I’m not convinced that Peguero can pitch as well as Paddack here, even if their ERA is the same. I’ll take the Tigers to win this game on the moneyline.
