Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox Prediction – 6/3/2025

On June 3, 2025, the Chicago White Sox will host the Detroit Tigers at Guaranteed Rate Field in what is shaping up to be a critical matchup. The Tigers are enjoying a stellar season, currently holding a record of 40-21 and sitting at the top of the American League Central. In contrast, the White Sox have struggled significantly, posting an abysmal record of 18-42. The stark differences in performance were evident in their last game, where the Tigers decisively beat the White Sox 13-1.

The pitching matchup features Shane Smith for the White Sox and Sawyer Gipson-Long for the Tigers. Smith has had an inconsistent season with a Win/Loss record of 1-3, despite an excellent ERA of 2.68. However, his 4.17 xFIP suggests he might be due for some regression. His last start on May 28, 2025, was abbreviated, going just 4 innings while allowing 3 earned runs. On the other hand, Sawyer Gipson-Long has been less effective, ranking among the worst pitchers in MLB, but he did manage a solid outing in his last start.

Offensively, the Tigers rank as the 7th best in the league, while the White Sox remain near the bottom with a disappointing rank of 29th. This season, the White Sox have struggled to hit for power, ranking 28th in home runs. The projections lean favorably for the Tigers, who have a high implied team total of 4.62 runs compared to the White Sox's average total of 3.88 runs. With the White Sox's struggles continuing, they will need a remarkable turnaround to compete against a likely playoff-bound Tigers squad.

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

Zach McKinstry has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph dropping to 79.6-mph over the past 7 days.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, Dillon Dingler).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

Shane Smith was on point in his last start and conceded 2 ER.

• A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.

Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Robert Jr. has been unlucky given the .068 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

• Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago White Sox' bullpen projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in the league.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 61 games (+13.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• Kerry Carpenter has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)

Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Detroit Tigers 5.23, Chicago White Sox 4.58

• Date: June 3, 2025
• Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long - Tigers
  • Shane Smith - White Sox

Visit the MLB picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.