Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction – 8/12/2025
The St. Louis Cardinals will host the Colorado Rockies on Tuesday night at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals enter as significant favorites after taking the Rockies down in their series opener on Monday night. Colorado comes into this game on a long losing streak and will look to put a stop to that in this matchup. Here, I take a look at this matchup and give you my Rockies vs Cardinals prediction.
Our Rockies vs Cardinals Pick
- Pick: St. Louis Cardinals –1.5
- Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 out of 5 stars)
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 12, 2025, 7:45 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Kyle Freeland (COL) vs. Matthew Liberatore (STL)
- Stadium: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
- Broadcast: FDSMW and COLR
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Matthew Liberatore has had a solid season for St. Louis despite having a 6-9 record. He has a 3.98 ERA and a WHIP of 1.29. He limits walks and long balls effectively for the most part. Colorado’s Kyle Freeland has struggled mightily in 2025. He is 2-12 with a 5.53 ERA and a bloated WHIP of 1.52. The pitching matchup heavily favors the Cardinals’ starter.
Key Players
- St. Louis: Willson Contreras leads the Cardinals with 16 home runs and 65 RBI. Brendan Donovan offers consistency in finding ways to get on base.
- Colorado: Colorado’s offense remains anemic. They rank 28th in runs per game despite playing at Coors Field. Hunter Goodman has been one of their few bright spots.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Rockies are riding an eight-game losing streak and have been outscored massively in Freeland’s recent starts.
- The Cardinals have won two games in a row and four of their last five.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Alec Burleson | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Matthew Liberatore | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The season series between these teams is tied 2-2.
- The last two games between these teams have gone under their totals.
- Home teams have gone 3-1 in this season series thus far.
Rockies vs Cardinals Model Projection
Score Projection: St. Louis 6 – Colorado 2
Win Probability: Cardinals 70%, Rockies 30%
Final Thoughts
The Cardinals hold all of the advantages entering this Tuesday night contest. They superior pitching in Liberatore, a much stronger lineup, and dominant home history over the Rockies. Colorado’s pitching and offensive deficiencies are glaring going into this game. My model recommends taking the Cardinals to win and cover the runline at home against Colorado.
