Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction – 8/11/2025
The St. Louis Cardinals and Colorado Rockies will square off on Monday night at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The Cardinals enter this series a game above .500 and 3.5 games back of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. They will look to take advantage of playing at home against the worst team in baseball this week. Before the first pitch from St. Louis, continue reading to get my Rockies vs Cardinals prediction for this game.
Our Rockies vs Cardinals Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals
- Date & Time: Monday, August 11, 2025, 7:45 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Chase Dollander vs Miles Mikolas
- Stadium: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
- Broadcast: FDSMW and COLR
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Miles Mikolas and Chase Dollander have both struggled this season. Dollander is 2-9 with a 6.68 ERA for the Rockies this year. Mikolas is 6-9 and has a 5.11 ERA. Both of these starters are desperately seeking some consistency and will look to put together a solid outing here to try and move in the right direction with the stretch run approaching.
Key Players
- St. Louis Cardinals: Willson Contreras leads the club in both home runs and RBI. He will have to like his chances to do some damage against the struggling Dollander.
- Colorado Rockies: Hunter Goodman is their most consistent bat. But the lineup behind Goodman has neutralized his contributions on a regular basis.
Recent Team Streaks
- Colorado has lost seven games in a row coming into this series. They have been swept in two straight series.
- The Cardinals are 3-2 in their last five games. They took two out of three games against the Chicago Cubs in their weekend series over the last few days.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | Under 4.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Rockies lead the season series over the Cardinals 2-1.
- Colorado took two out of three games at home against St. Louis back in late July.
- Colorado outscored the Cardinals 16-10 over those three games.
- The Rockies are 14-45 on the road this season.
- The Cardinals are 34-25 at home on the year.
Rockies vs Cardinals Model Projection
Score Projection: Cardinals 6 – Rockies 3
Win Probability: Cardinals 75%, Rockies 25%
Final Thoughts
The Cardinals shouldn’t have much of a problem securing a win over the Rockies in this game. They are riding a wave of momentum after beating the rival Cubs in a three-game set over the weekend. But I think there is more value in betting the over than laying the juice with St. Louis on Monday night. Both starting pitchers in this game have been inconsistent and we should see the offenses flourish in what should be an entertaining affair.
