Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction – 8/23/2025
The Pittsburgh Pirates and Colorado Rockies will play in the second game of a three-game series on Saturday night in Pittsburgh. The Pirates got a dominant 9-0 win over the Rockies in the first game of this series and will look for another victory in front of their home crowd tonight. Before the action begins in this National League matchup, you can find my Rockies vs Pirates prediction below.
Our Rockies vs Pirates Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5 runs
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 23, 2025, 6:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Kyle Freeland (COL) vs Mike Burrows (PIT)
- Stadium: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
- Broadcast: SportsNet PT and COLR
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Kyle Freeland has struggled all season. He enters this start with a 5.16 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over 120.1 innings. Mike Burrows has been more efficient. He enters this game with a 4.46 ERA and 1.27 WHIP over 72 .2 innings. Neither starter has been particularly impressive this season but Burrows gives Pittsburgh the slight edge in the starting pitching department here.
Key Players
- Andrew McCutchen had a pair of RBI doubles for the Pirates on Friday night and his contributions will be important for the Pirates as they look for another win over Colorado.
- Colorado’s bullpen will be extremely important in this game. The Rockies’ pen had a ton of work to do in relief of Antonio Senzatela on Friday night. If they are spent for this game it could cause problems for Colorado.
Recent team streaks
- The Rockies have lost two straight games and three of their last four.
- Pittsburgh has won two straight games and they have earned wins in three of their last four outings.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | Over 0.5 HR |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Mike Burrows (PIT) | Under 4.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The season series between these teams is tied 2-2.
- Pittsburgh has won two straight games against the Rockies after losing the first two.
- All four games of this season series have gone over their respective totals.
Rockies vs Pirates Model Projection
Score Projection: Pirates 6 – Rockies 4
Win Probability: Pirates 60%, Rockies 40%
Final Thoughts
I would lean toward the Pirates picking up a second straight win in this series at home. But I like the over much better than I like betting the Pirates in this contest. We should see a fifth straight game between these teams go over the total thanks to a lack of consistent starting pitching on both sides and some lackluster bullpen work from Colorado.
