Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction – 6/29/2025

On June 29, 2025, the Milwaukee Brewers will host the Colorado Rockies at American Family Field for the third game of their series. Currently, the Brewers are enjoying a solid season with a 47-36 record, while the Rockies are struggling significantly at 18-65. The Rockies are not contending for any playoff spot, and their recent performance has been dismal, making them heavy underdogs in this matchup.

In their last game, the Brewers secured a decisive victory over the Rockies, further highlighting the disparity between the two teams this season. The Brewers will send Chad Patrick to the mound, a right-handed pitcher who, despite a Power Rankings position of #169 among approximately 350 pitchers, has shown some promise with a respectable ERA of 3.72. However, he has faced challenges, reflected in his 3-7 record. Patrick projects to pitch 5.3 innings while allowing an average of 2.5 earned runs today, though he’s expected to strike out 6.1 batters—an encouraging sign for the Brewers.

On the other hand, German Marquez, also a right-hander for the Rockies, has been having a rough season. His 5.79 ERA and 3-9 record indicate significant struggles, and he ranks among the worst pitchers in MLB. Marquez is projected to allow 2.9 earned runs over 5.2 innings, but with a high average of 5.5 hits and 1.7 walks, the Brewers' offense, which ranks 18th in MLB, might capitalize on his weaknesses.

With the Brewers favored at -255 and an implied team total of 5.18 runs, they are expected to dominate this matchup against a Rockies team that has the 25th-ranked offense. As the game total sits at a modest 8.5 runs, bettors might find solid value in backing Milwaukee to continue their winning ways.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

Out of all starters, German Marquez's fastball spin rate of 2209 rpm is in the 14th percentile this year.

• Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Mickey Moniak is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#3-best of all teams today).

• This player's skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team's defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Colorado's 89.1-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in MLB: #22 overall.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Quick Takes Milwaukee Brewers:

Chad Patrick projects to strikeout 6.1 bats in today's game, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.

Brice Turang is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+13.72 Units / 14% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 50% ROI)

Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Colorado Rockies 4.13, Milwaukee Brewers 4.63

• Date: June 29, 2025
• Venue: American Family Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • German Marquez - Rockies
  • Chad Patrick - Brewers

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