Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction – 4/15/2025

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

On April 15, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Colorado Rockies at Dodger Stadium in the second game of their series. The Dodgers, currently sitting at 12-6, are enjoying a strong season, while the Rockies are struggling at 3-13. In their last matchup, the Dodgers claimed victory, further solidifying their dominance over the Rockies.

The Dodgers are projected to start Landon Knack, a right-handed pitcher with a Win/Loss record of 1-0 this year. However, his 10.38 ERA raises concerns, as it ranks him as one of the worst pitchers in MLB according to advanced metrics. Despite this, Knack's xFIP of 4.45 suggests he has been somewhat unlucky, and he could bounce back against a Rockies offense that has hit only 10 home runs this season—the 5th least in MLB. Knack's high-groundball rate of 54% may help him keep the Rockies from capitalizing on any mistakes, especially since they are not known for their power.

On the other side, the Rockies will counter with Ryan Feltner, another right-handed pitcher. Feltner has been surprisingly effective this season with a stellar 2.81 ERA, but his 3.34 xERA indicates that he might be due for a regression. The projections suggest he could struggle against a Dodgers lineup that ranks 2nd in MLB with 31 home runs this season.

The Dodgers' offense ranks as the 10th best in MLB, bolstered by their ability to hit home runs, while the Rockies sit at 26th in overall offensive performance. With an implied team total of 5.37 runs for the Dodgers compared to just 3.13 runs for the Rockies, the betting lines heavily favor Los Angeles. This matchup appears to be set up for the Dodgers to continue their winning ways against a struggling Rockies team.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

Ryan Feltner has used his curveball 5.5% less often this year (4.6%) than he did last season (10.1%).

• Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.

Los Angeles's 2nd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Mickey Moniak, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

• This player's skill set matches up well with the opposing team's defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

In today's matchup, Mickey Moniak is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.4% rate (89th percentile).

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Tommy Edman is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense ranks as the best on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

• A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 109 games (+25.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 15 away games (+5.20 Units / 35% ROI)

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Colorado Rockies 3.67, Los Angeles Dodgers 5.45

• Date: April 15, 2025
• Venue: Dodger Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Ryan Feltner - Rockies
  • Landon Knack - Dodgers

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