Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction, Odds & Picks – 7/31/2024

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels Details

• Date: July 31, 2024
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Kyle Freeland - Rockies
  • Davis Daniel - Angels

Betting Odds

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview

As the Los Angeles Angels gear up to face the Colorado Rockies at Angel Stadium on July 31, 2024, both teams find themselves in less-than-stellar form. The Angels currently sit at 46-60, while the Rockies are struggling with a 38-69 record. Despite their poor standings, this interleague matchup might still offer some intrigue to fans and bettors alike.

The Angels, who have the home-field advantage, are projected to start right-hander Jack Kochanowicz. Kochanowicz has shown flashes of potential, but his performance has been inconsistent. On the other hand, the Rockies will counter with righty Cal Quantrill, hoping he can provide some stability amid their pitching woes.

Offensively, the Angels have struggled, ranking 22nd in team batting average and 20th in home runs this season. However, they do rank 7th in stolen bases, which adds an interesting dynamic to their otherwise lackluster offensive output. Their best hitter over the last week has been Nolan Schanuel, who boasts a .438 batting average and a stellar 1.453 OPS over his last six games.

The Rockies' offense presents a mixed bag. They rank 12th in team batting average and 10th in home runs, making them slightly better off than their opponents in these categories. However, they lag behind in stolen bases, ranking 23rd. Michael Toglia has been a bright spot for Colorado recently, hitting .381 with a 1.197 OPS over his last six games.

Both teams last played on July 30, 2024, with the Angels taking the first game of this series. Given the current form of both teams, this game could be more competitive than their records suggest. Bettors might find value in backing the home team, especially with Schanuel's hot streak and the Rockies' ongoing struggles.

As always, it's crucial to consider all factors, including recent form, home-field advantage, and individual player performances, when placing your bets. This matchup might not feature playoff contenders, but it still offers plenty of angles for those looking to get in on the action.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

Kyle Freeland's fastball velocity has risen 3 mph this year (91.2 mph) over where it was last season (88.2 mph).

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (32.7) suggests that Michael Toglia has been lucky this year with his 46.6 actual HR/600.

• xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player's home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies' bullpen profiles as the 8th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Davis Daniel will record an average of 1.3 singles in today's matchup.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.

Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Today, Kevin Pillar is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.7% rate (93rd percentile).

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+12.70 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 50% ROI)

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Final Score: Colorado Rockies 4.3 vs Los Angeles Angels 4.99

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