Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros Pick – 8/26/2025
The Houston Astros and Colorado Rockies will open a three-game series against one another on Tuesday night in Houston. The Astros are heavy favorites at home in this contest and will look to get a win to stay ahead of the Seattle Mariners in the AL West standings. Before this series opener from Daikin Park, continue reading to get my Rockies vs Astros prediction.
Our Rockies vs Astros Pick
- Pick: Astros -1.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 26, 2025, 8:10 PM EDT
- Starting Pitchers: Tanner Gordon (COL) vs. Hunter Brown (HOU)
- Stadium: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
- Broadcast: SCHN (Astros), COLR (Rockies)
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Tanner Gordon is 4-5 with a 7.11 ERA this season. He will take the mound for the Rockies in this game. Gordon showed promise in his last outing despite a rough year for him as a whole. He allowed just one run over six innings against the Dodgers. But it will take more than one good start to get us to believe in Gordon.
Hunter Brown comes into this start at 10-5 with a 2.36 ERA. Brown has been a standout performer with a 1.44 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over his last four starts. His ability to limit runs and strike out batters makes him a tough opponent for the Rockies to deal with.
Recent Team Streaks
- Colorado has lost four games in a row. They were swept over three games by the Pittsburgh Pirates in their most recent series.
- The Houston Astros won three of their last four games against the Baltimore Orioles leading into this series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Hunter Brown | Over 5.5 strikeouts |
| Jeremy Peña | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Jose Altuve | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Astros hold a 2-1 lead in their season series against the Rockies.
- The Rockies are 9-30 in interleague games so far this season.
- Houston is 27-15 against National League competition.
Rockies vs Astros Model Projection
- Score Projection: Rockies 3 – Astros 5
- Win Probability: Astros 72.3%, Rockies 27.7%
Final Thoughts
It would take the performance of a lifetime for the Rockies to beat up on Hunter Brown in this game. Brown should continue to pitch well in this contest and the worst team in baseball should continue to struggle. I will lay the runline with the Astros here, as they should have no problem building some margin in the first five innings thanks to their starting pitching advantage.
