Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Preview – 9/11/2024

• Date: September 11, 2024
• Venue: Comerica Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Tanner Gordon - Rockies
  • Casey Mize - Tigers

Betting Odds

Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

As the Detroit Tigers host the Colorado Rockies at Comerica Park on September 11, 2024, the stakes are high for the Tigers, who are looking to build on their recent momentum. After a dominant 11-0 victory over the Rockies in their last game, the Tigers are eager to capitalize on their strong performance. With a record of 74-71, they find themselves in the midst of an average season, but a series win against a struggling Rockies team could provide a much-needed boost.

The Rockies, sitting at 54-91, are experiencing a dismal season and have already been eliminated from any chance of winning their division. They will send Tanner Gordon to the mound, who has struggled mightily with a 0-5 record and a 7.55 ERA. Despite having an xFIP of 4.39, which suggests he may be due for better luck, Gordon's recent outings have left much to be desired. In his last start, he was hit hard, allowing 5 earned runs over just 4 innings.

On the other hand, Casey Mize, projected to start for the Tigers, comes in with a 2-6 record and a 4.30 ERA. While Mize has been below average according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, he benefits from facing a Rockies offense that ranks 2nd in MLB for strikeouts. This matchup could play to Mize's advantage, as he is a low-strikeout pitcher who typically avoids walks.

The projections favor the Tigers, who are expected to score around 4.75 runs, while the Rockies are projected for only 3.88 runs. With the Tigers' bullpen ranked 10th in MLB, they have the edge to close out games effectively. As the Tigers look to continue their winning streak, they will aim to take advantage of the Rockies' struggles and solidify their position in the standings.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

Brendan Rodgers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 2nd-deepest CF fences today.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

Casey Mize has a mean projection of 16.6 outs in today's game, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Riley Greene's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

Projected catcher Jake Rogers profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Pitch framing is a catcher's ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, "stealing" strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Game Trends

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 64 games (+13.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• Trey Sweeney has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+9.80 Units / 245% ROI)

Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Final Score: Colorado Rockies 3.88 vs Detroit Tigers 4.75

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