Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction – 7/11/2025

The Colorado Rockies make the cross-country trek to Great American Ball Park tonight to face off against the Cincinnati Reds. The Reds hold a significant edge on paper but baseball is played on a field instead of on paper. Continue reading to get my Rockies vs Reds prediction for this Friday night matchup in the National League.

Our Rockies vs Reds Pick

• Pick: Cincinnati Reds -1.5
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds
• Date & Time: Friday, July 11, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers: German Márquez (COL) vs Chase Burns (CIN)
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
• Broadcast: FDSOH and COLR

Key Storylines

• Rockies’ woes: Colorado ranks near the bottom in runs per game. They have one of the worst ERAs from their pitching staff as well. All of that has combined to bring them the worst record in baseball by a wide margin.
• Reds improvement: Cincinnati sits just above .500 at 48-46. While they are far from a title contender, they have been respectable this year. That is a step in the right direction from this young roster.
• Pitching matchup: Márquez is 3-10 with a 5.84 ERA. Burns has struggled across limited action with an 8.10 ERA. Whichever pitcher can string together some decent innings here will give their team a huge boost.

Recent team streaks

• Rockies last 5: The Rockies are 1-4 and were swept in a three-game series by the Boston Red Sox.
• Reds last 5: Cincinnati is 2-3 but won their last two games against the Miami Marlins.

Best Player Props

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Model Projection

Score Projection: Reds 6 – Rockies 2

Win Probability: Reds 71%, Rockies 29%

Final Thoughts

I am going to lay the runline with Cincinnati in this game. The Reds are a middle-of-the-pack team in the National League right now. But they look like the Big Red Machine Reds when put next to this Rockies team. Expect Cincinnati to win big at home today to start off this final series before the All-Star break.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.