Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction – 7/8/2025

On Monday, the Boston Red Sox won the first game of the interleague series against the Colorado Rockies. The two teams will play one another again Tuesday night at Fenway Park, with Boston looking to take advantage of every game they can against one of the worst teams in MLB history. Continue reading to get my breakdown of this matchup, including my Rockies vs Red Sox prediction.

Our Rockies vs Red Sox Pick

• Pick: Red Sox -1.5
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox
• Date & Time: Tuesday, July 8, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers: Kyle Freeland (COL) vs Brayan Bello (BOS)
• Stadium: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
• Broadcast: NESN and COLR

Key Storylines

Pitching form

• Brayan Bello is 4-3 with a 3.42 ERA for the Red Sox. His home ERA (3.60) is higher than his road ERA (2.95) this season. But he did get a win at home against the Cincinnati Reds in his last start.
• Kyle Freeland is struggling at 1-9, with a 5.49 ERA. He has allowed three earned runs or more in each of his last three starts for the Rockies.

Bullpen usage

Boston came into this series with a bullpen edge. They showcased that advantage in the first game of this series. The Red Sox didn’t give up a run from their relievers on Monday, while Colorado’s pen gave up four earned runs.

Recent team streaks

• The Red Sox have won four straight, including the first game of this series.
• The Rockies have lost three of their last four and hold the worst record in MLB.

Betting Trends & H2H

• Boston leads the season series between these teams 1-0 after Monday’s win.
• Colorado is 36-54 on the runline this season. That is the worst runline record in baseball.
• Boston is 45-46 on the runline.
• Both teams have gone under the total in over 50% of their games.
• Boston is 26-20 at home and the Rockies are 11-34 on the road.

Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox Model Projection

Final Thoughts

Every number we use to make our MLB models heavily favors the Boston Red Sox over the Colorado Rockies. Boston has better starting pitching, better relief pitching, and better offensive numbers going into the second game of this series. I expect the Sox to win convincingly over the Rockies for the second straight night. I recommend laying the runline with the Red Sox, as they should win their fifth straight in style.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.