Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles Pick – 7/27/2025
The Colorado Rockies and Baltimore Orioles will face off for the final time this season on Sunday afternoon at Camden Yards. The Orioles roared back from dropping Friday’s series opener with an 18-0 win over Colorado on Saturday. Before the rubber match of this three-game interleague series, continue reading to get my Rockies vs Orioles prediction.
Our Rockies vs Orioles Pick
- Pick: Over 9.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Colorado Rockies at Baltimore Orioles
- Date & Time: Sunday, July 27, 2025 at 1:35 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Austin Gomber (0–4, 6.03 ERA) vs Tomoyuki Sugano (7–5, 4.54 ERA)
- Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- Broadcast: MASN and COLR
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
- Austin Gomber has struggled significantly. He is 0-4 and has a 6.03 ERA across seven starts. The Rockies are 1–6 in his outings as underdogs.
- Tomoyuki Sugano has been steadier with a 4.54 ERA and a record of 7-5. The Orioles are around .500 in his starts as moneyline favorites.
Key Players
- Baltimore: Ramon Laureano leads the team with 14 home runs. Gunnar Henderson and Ryan O’Hearn provide reliability in their lineup as well.
- Colorado: Hunter Goodman is having a breakout campaign. He is leading the team in batting average (.281), home runs (18), and RBI (57). He will need to have a good game for the Rockies to avoid another blowout loss.
Recent team streaks
- The Rockies had a three-game winning streak snapped in their 18-0 loss to the Orioles on Saturday.
- Baltimore is 2-3 in their last five games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Projection |
|---|---|
| Jackson Holliday | Over has value given his 14 HR on season pace |
| Austin Gomber | Under – struggles to rack up K’s |
| Hunter Goodman | Perhaps Under if Orioles limit his power |
Betting Trends & H2H
- These teams split the first two games of their season series.
- Both games of this series have gone over their totals.
- The Rockies have allowed 23 runs over their last two games in Baltimore.
Rockies vs Orioles Model Projection
Score Projection: Baltimore 8 – Colorado 4
Win Probability: Baltimore 62%, Colorado 38%
Final Thoughts
The Orioles should be able to put runs on the board in bunches again today. The Rockies have been dreadful with their pitching in this series and Gomber doesn’t exactly inspire confidence that is going to change. Rather than laying a ton of vig with the Orioles here, I recommend taking the over at 9.5 runs. Each of the first two games of this series saw double-digits on the scoreboard and I don’t think this game will be any different.
