Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction – 8/10/2025
The Colorado Rockies will look to avoid a series sweep as they face the Arizona Diamondbacks in the final game of their three-game series at Chase Field on Sunday. The Rockies have been the worst team in baseball by a wide margin this year and will look to pull off an upset on the road today. But given their body of work this season, oddsmakers are not predicting that the Rockies will do that. Continue reading to get my Rockies vs Diamondbacks prediction for Sunday.
Our Rockies vs Diamondbacks Pick
- Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 10, 2025, 4:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Tanner Gordon (COL) vs. Brandon Pfaadt (ARI)
- Stadium: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
- Broadcast: ARID, COLR
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Tanner Gordon is 2-4 and has a 6.59 ERA this season. He takes the mound for Colorado today. Gordon has allowed opponents to hit .300 against him and has posted a WHIP of 1.78. His inconsistency has been a concern for the Rockies and their struggling pitching staff. Brandon Pfaadt is 11-7 with a 5.02 ERA and will start for Arizona. His ERA is higher than desired but Pfaadt has been more reliable than Gordon and has the potential to keep the Rockies’ offense in check.
Key Players
- Colorado Rockies: Hunter Goodman leads the team with 22 home runs and 64 RBI. His power is a key asset for the Rockies.
- Arizona Diamondbacks: Corbin Carroll has 25 home runs and 59 RBI. Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with a .286 batting average. Both players are central to Arizona’s offensive success.
Recent Team Streaks
The Rockies have lost six games in a row coming into this contest. Arizona has won two straight games and three of their last five. The Diamondbacks will be expected to get a third straight win and to close out a sweep in this game.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Diamondbacks hold a 6-2 lead in the season series against the Rockies.
- Arizona is 4-1 at home against the Rockies so far this year.
- Arizona has scored six runs in each of the first two games of this series.
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Model Projection
- Score Projection: Colorado Rockies 4 – Arizona Diamondbacks 6
- Win Probability: Colorado Rockies 30%, Arizona Diamondbacks 70%
Final Thoughts
I would be very surprised if the Rockies managed to steal this game from the Diamondbacks on Sunday afternoon. Colorado is just 14-44 on the road this season and an insanely bad 30-86 for the year as a whole. It would be embarrassing for the Diamondbacks to lose to the Rockies again and I think that Arizona will find a way to avoid losing, covering the runline as a favorite.
