Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants Game 2 Best Bet – 7/27/2024

Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants Game 2 Details

• Date: July 27, 2024
• Venue: Oracle Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Undecided - Rockies
  • Hayden Birdsong - Giants

Rockies vs Giants Game 2 Betting Odds

Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants Game 2 Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants Game 2 Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants and Colorado Rockies are set to face off in the second game of a double-header at Oracle Park on July 27, 2024. This National League West matchup features two teams struggling through below-average seasons. The Giants currently hold a 50-55 record, while the Rockies are languishing at 38-66. The Giants' playoff hopes are slim, but they're still fighting to improve their standing.

San Francisco will send right-hander Hayden Birdsong to the mound. Birdsong has a 3.55 ERA over five starts this season, with a 2-0 Win/Loss record. However, his 4.14 xFIP suggests he might have been a bit fortunate so far. Birdsong's high strikeout rate (28.3 K%) could play well against a Rockies lineup that ranks 3rd in MLB for most strikeouts. The Giants also boast the 2nd best bullpen according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, which could be crucial in a double-header scenario where bullpen depth is often tested.

The Rockies have yet to decide on a starting pitcher for this game, as that decision could hinge on who they have to use out of the bullpen in the first game of this double-header. The Giants' offense, which ranks 15th in MLB, will look to capitalize on this matchup. While their power numbers are lacking (23rd in home runs), they should find opportunities against a Rockies bullpen ranked 23rd.

Offensively, the Rockies have been slightly better than the Giants this season, ranking 14th overall. Jacob Stallings has been a bright spot for Colorado recently, hitting .438 with a 1.313 OPS over the last week. On the Giants' side, Tyler Fitzgerald has been on fire, boasting a .474 average and 1.899 OPS in his last six games.

THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives the Giants a 63% win probability for this game. Given the Giants' bullpen strength and Birdsong's strikeout potential against a high-strikeout Rockies lineup, San Francisco appears to have the upper hand in this matchup.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

Ryan McMahon has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph average.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Compared to their .318 overall projected rate, the .297 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected offense in this game suggests this version of the lineup significantly weaker than usual.

• Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today's lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren't accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

The San Francisco Giants bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 70 games (+6.80 Units / 9% ROI)

Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants Game 2 Prediction

Final Score: Colorado Rockies 3.8 vs San Francisco Giants 4.4

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