Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Best Bet – 8/13/2024

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Details

• Date: August 13, 2024
• Venue: Chase Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Austin Gomber - Rockies
  • Eduardo Rodriguez - D-Backs

Betting Odds

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

As the Arizona Diamondbacks prepare to face the Colorado Rockies at Chase Field on August 13, 2024, the stakes are palpable despite the Rockies being firmly entrenched in a disappointing season. With a record of 44-75, the Rockies are struggling, while the Diamondbacks, boasting a competitive 66-53 record, are aiming to solidify their position in the National League West. The D-Backs are coming off a successful outing, having won their last game against Colorado, and look to continue their momentum.

Eduardo Rodriguez is scheduled to take the mound for the Diamondbacks, entering the game as the 67th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. Despite an ERA of 4.76, Rodriguez projects to allow only 2.2 earned runs and strike out approximately 5.8 batters today. His matchup against the Rockies, who rank 3rd in MLB for team strikeouts, could leverage his low-strikeout approach. Conversely, Austin Gomber will start for Colorado, with a subpar 3-8 record and ERA of 4.92. However, Gomber's projected xFIP of 4.42 suggests he may have been unlucky this season and could surprise in this matchup.

The Diamondbacks' offense has been nothing short of electrifying, ranking as the 2nd best in MLB. Their high-scoring potential is evident, and they are projected to score a robust 5.43 runs today. Jake McCarthy has been on fire lately, leading the team with a .409 batting average over the previous week, hitting 11 RBIs and 3 home runs in just 6 games. In contrast, the Rockies rank 16th in offensive production and appear to be at a disadvantage with a projected team total of only 3.57 runs.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Austin Gomber will post an average of 3.6 strikeouts in this game.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.

Ryan McMahon's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 92.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 81-mph over the past week.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

The Colorado Rockies bullpen projects as the 6th-worst in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Arizona Diamondbacks:

As a result of his reverse platoon split, Eduardo Rodriguez should be in good shape facing 8 batters in the projected offense who hit from the other side today.

• A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Colorado (#3-best of all teams today).

• This player's skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team's defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

In today's game, Josh Bell is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.7% rate (87th percentile).

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 87 games (+18.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 away games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• Jake McCarthy has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+8.85 Units / 46% ROI)

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Final Score: Colorado Rockies 3.83 vs Arizona Diamondbacks 4.71

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.