Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Pick – 8/4/2025
The Cleveland Guardians and New York Mets will open a series in interleague play at Citi Field on Monday night. Both of these teams are above .500 for the season and sitting in second place in their respective divisions. Before they face one another in this massive matchup from Queens, you can continue reading to get my Guardians vs Mets prediction.
Our Guardians vs Mets Pick
- Pick: New York Mets -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
- Get Your Bonus Bets: Use BetMGM bonus code ATSBONUS to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet doesn’t win!
Game Snapshot
| Matchup | New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians |
| Date & Time | August 4, 2025, 7:10 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Sean Manaea vs Slade Cecconi |
| Stadium | Citi Field, Queens, NY |
| Broadcast | MLB.tv |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Matchup: Slade Cecconi will get the start for the Guardians on Monday night. Cecconi has been solid for Cleveland with a 5-4 record and a 3.77 ERA. He will be challenged by the potent lineup of the Mets here. Cecconi will face Mets starter Sean Manaea in this contest. Manaea is 1-1 on the season with a 2.08 ERA. He has pitched just 17.1 innings and will look to expand his success over a larger sample of games.
Team Momentum: The Mets come into this game with a 1-4 record over their last five games. They most recently dropped two out of three games against the San Francisco Giants. Cleveland is 4-1 in their last five games. They lost their series finale to the Minnesota Twins but still managed to claim two of the three games in that series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| José Ramírez | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Slade Cecconi | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting between the Guardians and the Mets this season.
These teams will play a total of three times in 2025. Those games will all take place this week.
New York is a spectacular 38-18 at home on the season.
The Guardians are a game below .500 on the road at 27-28.
Guardians vs Mets Model Projection
Projected Score: Mets 5 – Guardians 3
Win Probability: Mets 60% | Guardians 40%
Final Thoughts
Slade Cecconi has been a solid arm in the rotation of the Guardians this season. But I don’t think that will be enough for the Guardians to get the better of the Mets at Citi Field tonight. Sean Manaea has been impressive in limited action for New York and I expect that to continue while the Mets will stay 20 games above .500 at home after this contest wraps up.
