Implied Win %: Projected Win %: On April 6, 2024, the Minnesota Twins will face off against the Cleveland Guardians at Target Field. The Twins, with a season record of 3-3, are having an average season so far. Meanwhile, the Guardians boast a strong 6-2 record, indicating a great start to their season. As the home team, the Twins will look to bounce back from their recent loss against the Guardians and secure a victory in this American League Central matchup. The Twins are projected to start right-handed pitcher Joe Ryan, who has shown promise as the 21st best starting pitcher in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. In his lone start this season, Ryan displayed excellent form, pitching 5 innings with only 1 earned run, 5 strikeouts, 3 hits, and 1 walk. His impressive ERA of 1.69 suggests he has been performing well, although his xFIP of 4.55 indicates potential regression in future performances. On the other side, the Guardians will send Carlos Carrasco to the mound. While Carrasco has struggled this season with an ERA of 5.40, his peripheral indicators, such as a lower SIERA, xERA, and FIP than his ERA, suggest that he has been unlucky and may perform better going forward. The Twins offense ranks as the 24th best in MLB, indicating room for improvement. However, they have shown some power, ranking 7th in team home runs. The Guardians offense, on the other hand, has been strong, ranking 7th overall. Despite their low ranking in team home runs, they have excelled in other areas, including stolen bases. In terms of bullpen strength, our advanced-stat Power Rankings consider the Twins as the 9th best in MLB, while the Guardians rank 18th. This could give the Twins an advantage in the later innings of the game. Based on the current odds, the Twins are the betting favorites with a moneyline of -160, implying a 59% win probability. THE BAT X projects the Twins as a big favorite with a projected win probability of 61%. The Guardians, with a moneyline of +135 and an implied win probability of 41%, are considered the underdogs. Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Joe Ryan. The Cleveland Guardians (17 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-prone set of hitters on the slate today. Joe Ryan is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.5% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #21 HR venue in MLB today. Max Kepler has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. The Minnesota Twins bullpen profiles as the 10th-worst in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Overview
Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Win Probabilities
Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Game Preview & Prediction
Quick Takes Cleveland Guardians:
Quick Takes Minnesota Twins:
Game Trends
Final Score Prediction: Cleveland Guardians 3.83 vs Minnesota Twins 4.6
MLB
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
Team Records
CLE Team Records MIN 0-0 Home 0-0 2-2 Road 0-4 1-1 vRHP 0-3 1-1 vLHP 0-1 2-2 vs>.500 0-4 0-0 vs<.500 0-0 2-2 Last10 0-4 2-2 Last20 0-4 2-2 Last30 0-4 Team Stats
CLE Team Stats MIN 3.76 ERA 3.89 .240 Batting Avg Against .235 1.27 WHIP 1.20 .286 BABIP .293 8.3% BB% 7.3% 21.3% K% 25.8% 74.3% LOB% 74.0% .250 Batting Avg .237 .380 SLG .416 .693 OPS .732 .313 OBP .316 Pitchers
C. Carrasco J. Ryan N/A Innings 126.0 N/A GS 22 N/A W-L 9-8 N/A ERA 4.43 N/A K/9 10.86 N/A BB/9 1.79 N/A HR/9 1.79 N/A LOB% 74.3% N/A HR/FB% 14.5% N/A FIP 4.15 N/A xFIP 3.81 Recent Starts
Date Opp W/L IP H R ER SO BB ST-PC 5/3
ATLWright
ML N/AW3-0
TOTAL N/A8 6 0 0 5 2 68-96 4/27
STLMatz
ML N/AL5-10
TOTAL N/A3.2 9 8 8 3 2 53-78 4/21
SFDeSclafani
ML N/AW6-2
TOTAL N/A7.2 4 2 2 7 0 61-91 4/16
ARIGallen
ML N/AL2-3
TOTAL N/A5 3 0 0 8 2 53-82 4/10
WSHFedde
ML N/AL2-4
TOTAL N/A5.2 2 1 1 5 0 50-72 Date Opp W/L IP H R ER SO BB ST-PC 5/3
BALZimmermann
ML N/AW7-2
TOTAL N/A4.2 6 2 2 3 1 57-81 4/27
DETPineda
ML N/AW5-0
TOTAL N/A7 1 0 0 9 1 58-90 4/21
KCGreinke
ML N/AW1-0
TOTAL N/A6 2 0 0 5 1 57-85 4/15
BOSPivetta
ML N/AW8-4
TOTAL N/A6 5 1 1 7 0 60-82 4/8
SEARay
ML N/AL1-2
TOTAL N/A4 2 2 2 4 4 42-70 Betting Trends
CLE Betting Trends MIN OVERALL OVERALL 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-2-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 5.67 Avg Score 3.67 1.33 Avg Opp Score 3.33 AWAY HOME 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 0-3-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 0-3-0 5.67 Avg Score 1.67 1.33 Avg Opp Score 5.33 CLE Betting Trends MIN OVERALL OVERALL 3-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-3-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 4.8 Avg Score 3.2 2.6 Avg Opp Score 4.4 AWAY HOME 3-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-3-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 4.8 Avg Score 2 2.6 Avg Opp Score 3.4 CLE Betting Trends MIN OVERALL OVERALL 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 4-6-0 6-4-0 ATS W/L/P 4-6-0 5.2 Avg Score 3.3 3.3 Avg Opp Score 4.3 AWAY HOME 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 6-4-0 ATS W/L/P 5-5-0 5.2 Avg Score 3.7 3.3 Avg Opp Score 3 Head to Head
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