Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Pick – 7/27/2025
The Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals will conclude their three-game series on Sunday afternoon. These teams have split the first two games of their three-game series and the winner of this game will strike a huge blow in the race for the second spot in the AL Central. Before first pitch from Kansas City, continue reading to get my Guardians vs Royals prediction.
Our Guardians vs Royals Pick
- Pick: Guardians to Win
- Confidence: 3 stars
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals
- Date & Time: Sunday, July 27, 2025, 2:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Joey Cantillo (CLE) vs Noah Cameron (KC)
- Stadium: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
- Broadcast: FDSKC (Royals), CLEG (Guardians)
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Both pitchers in this game have been impressive for the most part this year. Cleveland’s Joey Cantillo has a 2-0 record and a 3.91 ERA. He has allowed only 25 runs over 46 innings and boasts an impressive 29.5% strikeout rate. His ability to limit hard contact and generate swings and misses positions him as a solid starter for Cleveland going forward.
Royals’ starter Noah Cameron boasts a 4-4 record with a 2.61 ERA. Cameron has been solid individually for the Royals this year. But his ERA and relatively low win total suggest that he is not getting the run support that he deserves. His team has a 1-2 record this season when he starts as the favorite.
Key Players
- José Ramírez (CLE): Ramírez has demonstrated power against left-handed pitching. He has a .942 OPS, 4 home runs, and 17 RBIs in such matchups this season.
- Steven Kwan (CLE): Kwan’s recent two-run homer in this series adds to his reputation as a consistent offensive contributor for Cleveland.
- Bobby Witt Jr. (KC): Witt’s recent two-run homer illustrates his potential to impact each game significantly.
Recent Team Streaks
- Guardians: The Guardians had lost two games in a row before winning the second game of yesterday’s doubleheader.
- Royals: Kansas City had won two in a row before losing that second game to the Guardians. They are 3-2 in their last five games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| José Ramírez | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Steven Kwan | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Guardians lead the season series between these teams 5-3.
- After this series these teams will play four more times in a series in September.
- Home teams have not had a significant advantage in this series so far. They are 4-4 during this season series.
Guardians vs Royals Model Projection
- Score Projection: Guardians 5 – Royals 4
- Win Probability: Guardians 55%, Royals 45%
Final Thoughts
This team is very important for both teams, as they look to make up ground on the struggling Detroit Tigers. I will go with the Guardians to win this contest on the road and to win this series. The Guardians have a promising pitcher on the mound in Cantillo. And with the Royals having a losing record on the road this year, I am not putting too much stock into Kansas City’s home-field advantage in this one.
