Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction – 8/10/2025
The Cincinnati Reds head into Sunday with a chance to build on the momentum from a 2–1 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday. The Pirates took the first two games of this four-game series. But the Reds have a chance to secure a series split with a win today and the Pirates have a chance to grab a 3-1 series win with a home victory. Before this game begins, you can continue reading to get my Reds vs Pirates prediction.
Our Reds vs Pirates Pick
- Pick: Cincinnati Reds moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 10, 2025
- Starting Pitchers: Zack Littell (9–8, 3.46 ERA) vs Mike Burrows (1–4, 4.45 ERA)
- Stadium: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
- Broadcast: SportsNet Pittsburgh
Key Storylines
The Reds regained their footing with a 2–1 victory on Saturday behind a great start from Nick Martinez and a three-double game from Noelvi Marte. Zack Littell seeks his 10th win in this game while Pittsburgh leans on Mike Burrows to start this matchup. Cincinnati visits holding an edge offensively and they will look to use that to salvage a split after a bad start to this series.
Pitching Matchup
Littell brings a solid 3.46 ERA across 140.1 innings and he will look to replicate Martinez’s start from yesterday. Burrows has struggled with a 4.45 ERA in 62.2 innings. That edge on the mound should give Cincinnati an early advantage in this duel.
Key Players
- Noelvi Marte (Reds): Marte had three doubles on Saturday and provides a spark in the Reds’ order.
- Tommy Pham (Pirates): Pham had Pittsburgh’s lone RBI in their 2-1 loss on Saturday.
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Cruz leads the Pirates in home runs with 18.
Recent Team Streaks
- Cincinnati ended a three-game losing streak with a win in their last game.
- The Pirates had a two-game winning streak snapped with their loss on Saturday.
Best Player Props
| Player | Stat | Prop |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz | Home runs | 1+ HR |
| Zack Littell | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 K |
| Noelvi Marte | Total bases | 2+ TB |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Reds lead the season series 5-4 going into Sunday’s matchup.
- No game between these teams has featured more than eight runs this season.
- Cincinnati has been held to two or fewer runs in four straight games.
Reds vs Pirates Model Projection
Score Projection: Reds 5 – Pirates 3
Win Probability: Reds 54%, Pirates 46%
Final Thoughts
I think that we will see a breakout performance from the Cincinnati Reds offensively on Sunday. The Reds will finally end their streak of being held to two or fewer runs and the Reds should get the win in this game. With a significant starting pitching advantage, I think the Reds will find a way to secure a split after a terrible start to this four-game set in Pittsburgh.
