Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers Prediction – 6/15/2025

On June 15, 2025, the Detroit Tigers will host the Cincinnati Reds at Comerica Park in what promises to be an intriguing interleague matchup. The Tigers, boasting an impressive 46-26 record, have solidified their status as one of the stronger teams this season. In contrast, the Reds sit at 36-35, indicating a more average performance thus far.

Detroit will send Sawyer Gipson-Long to the mound, a right-handed pitcher who has had a mixed start to his season. Although his ERA stands at a respectable 4.32, his 3.09 xFIP suggests he has faced some misfortune and may perform better going forward. Gipson-Long's projections indicate he could struggle with hits and walks, allowing an average of 4.0 hits and 1.1 walks per game, which could be concerning against a Reds lineup that ranks 11th in MLB in offensive performance.

Wade Miley, the left-handed pitcher for Cincinnati, has had a rough season, with a 9.00 ERA and a 1-0 record in just one start. His high xFIP of 6.10 indicates he might also be due for some positive regression. However, Miley faces a daunting challenge against a Tigers offense ranked 9th overall, which is particularly potent, especially given that they rank 4th in strikeouts—an area where Miley typically excels.

The Tigers' bullpen is rated as the 2nd best in MLB, a stark contrast to the Reds' 20th ranking, which could play a significant role in the game's outcome. With the Tigers favored at -180 and an implied team total of 5.10 runs, they look to capitalize on their strong season and home-field advantage against a Reds team that may struggle to keep pace.

Quick Takes Cincinnati Reds:

Because groundball batters have a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Wade Miley and his 45.1% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough spot in this outing matching up with 2 opposing GB bats.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Elly De La Cruz has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 97.2-mph over the last week.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Cincinnati's 88.5-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in the game: #28 overall.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

Typically, batters like Javier Baez who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Wade Miley.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

In today's matchup, Parker Meadows is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.2% rate (98th percentile).

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 53 games (+11.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Cincinnati Reds 4.3, Detroit Tigers 4.66

• Date: June 15, 2025
• Venue: Comerica Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Wade Miley - Reds
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long - Tigers

Stay informed with the most recent MLB news and our analytics-driven MLB picks and predictions all season long.