Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Pick – 7/2/2025

If you like the color red, have we got the game for you. The Boston Red Sox will host the Cincinnati Reds in interleague play, with both teams sitting near the .500 mark for the year. This game will take place after their suspended game from Tuesday is completed earlier in the day. Here, we break down this matchup and give you our Reds vs Red Sox prediction from Fenway Park.

Our Reds vs Red Sox Pick

• Pick: Reds moneyline (+108)
• Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Cincinnati Reds at Boston Red Sox
• Date & Time: Wednesday, July 2, 2025 – 7:10 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers: Nicholas Martinez vs Brayan Bello
• Stadium: Fenway Park
• Broadcast: NESN, FDSOH

Key Storylines

• Pitching form: Martinez has a 4.12 ERA over 94 innings with solid strikeout and walk rates. Bello has a 3.41 ERA, though his FIP is elevated at 4.42 and his WHIP sits at 1.44.
• Bullpen usage: My biggest question going into this game is whether or not the Reds bullpen can do enough to hold the Red Sox in check. The Reds gave up 13 runs against the Sox on Monday and need to be better here.
• Recent team streaks: Reds are 5–5 in their last 10, Boston is 3-7. The Red Sox dominated Game 1 with a 13–6 win, highlighting their offensive surge led by Wilyer Abreu.

Betting Trends & H2H

• Reds are 20-22 away.
• Boston is 24–19 at home.
• In their lone meeting so far this season, Boston won 13–6.

Reds vs Red Sox Model Projection

Score Projection: Reds 6 – Red Sox 5

Win Probability: Reds 52%, Red Sox 48%

Final Thoughts

I’ll take the Reds to win this game on the road. Boston’s recent offensive explosion and home-field edge are certainly hurdles for the Reds to overcome. However, the Reds have the momentum and I think they are a good value at +108. In what should be a close game, having the team at a plus price should pay off, as the offense of the Reds should help them to bounce back after their blowout loss against the Sox.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.