Cincinnati Reds vs Athletics Prediction – 9/14/2025
The Cincinnati Reds will visit the Athletics as the Reds chase a National League Wild Card berth. But the Reds have failed to take advantage of their opportunities against the A’s so far this weekend. Cincinnati will need to turn things around in this game to avoid falling behind further in the Wild Card race. Before they take the field and attempt to do that, you can continue reading to get my Reds vs Athletics prediction.
Our Reds vs Athletics Pick
- Pick: Reds moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Athletics
- Date & Time: Sunday, September 14, 4:05 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Nick Lodolo vs Luis Morales
- Stadium: Sutter Health Park, West Sacramento, CA
- Broadcast: MLB.tv
Key Storylines
- Cincinnati’s playoff push: The Reds got consecutive series wins against the Mets and Padres. But they have lost the first two games of this series to the A’s and are a game back of the final Wild Card spot in the National League.
- The Athletics are playing for pride at this stage of the season and they have won the first two games of this three-game set at home. They have already guaranteed that they won’t reach 100 losses on the year and will try to finish strong these next couple of weeks.
Pitching matchup
- Nick Lodolo, LHP, Reds: 8-7, 3.10 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 132 K. Lodolo comes into this game with heavy four-seam fastball/curveball usage. That plays to whiffs below the zone and limits barrels when he’s ahead in the count. The A’s have done better vs southpaws overall, but Lodolo’s strike-throwing and chase curve mitigate Sutter Health Park’s carry when he stays out of the middle third of the plate.
- Luis Morales, RHP, Athletics: 3-1, 2.73 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 32 K. Morales has an electric four-seam/slider arsenal that has yielded excellence over a small sample size. Cincinnati’s core bats grade better against righties than lefties. Their collective chase discipline has improved over the past two weeks, an important counter against a power slider.
Recent team streaks
- The Reds have lost two games in a row coming into this matchup.
- The Athletics have won three games in a row entering Sunday afternoon.
Best Player Props
Prop Type | Player | Suggestion |
---|---|---|
Home Run | Shea Langeliers | To hit a HR |
Strikeouts | Nick Lodolo | Over 5.5 Ks |
Total Bases | Elly De La Cruz | Over 1.5 TB |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The A’s are 2-0 against the Reds so far this season.
- This is the final game of the regular-season series between these two teams.
Reds vs Athletics Model Projection
Score Projection: Reds 5 – Athletics 4
Win Probability: Reds 54%, Athletics 46%
Final Thoughts
Both starters bring legitimate swing-and-miss stuff, but Cincinnati’s edge comes from their lineup fit against a right-handed starter. Cincy also enjoys steadier late-inning relief, and Lodolo’s ability to suppress damage. I recommend taking the Reds on the moneyline to salvage a game from this series and help their Wild Card chances in the National League.