Chicago White Sox vs Texas Rangers Pick – 6/14/2025

The Texas Rangers host the Chicago White Sox on June 14, 2025, for the second game of their series. The Rangers currently sit at 34-36, having an average season thus far, while the White Sox, with a dismal record of 23-47, have compiled the worst record in MLB and are suffering from both offensive and pitching woes.

On the mound for the Rangers is ace Jacob deGrom, who continues to showcase elite performance, ranking 12th among starting pitchers in MLB according to advanced metrics. DeGrom boasts a Win/Loss record of 6-2 and an impressive ERA of 2.12, indicating high-level effectiveness. His projections suggest he should pitch around 5.6 innings, allowing just 1.8 earned runs and racking up about 6.8 strikeouts. Facing him is Mike Vasil, whose struggles have made him one of the least effective pitchers this season. Vasil's 5.08 xFIP paired with a 2.18 ERA suggests he may be in for an uphill battle against a Rangers lineup that, while ranking 27th in overall offense, still has potential for power as they rank 12th in home runs.

The White Sox offense has faltered significantly, currently 30th in team batting average and 30th in overall performance. Their struggles are compounded by Vasil's high walk rate of 12.6%, making it difficult for him to establish consistency.

Despite the odds favoring the Rangers significantly with a moneyline of -360 and an implied team total of 4.88 runs, their recent offensive struggles leave some question regarding their ability to capitalize. However, with the elite form of deGrom facing a weak White Sox offense, Texas may find an opportunity to turn their recent setbacks into a much-needed victory.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

Mike Vasil will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing bats today.

• Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago White Sox' bullpen projects as the worst among all the teams in MLB.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Texas Rangers:

Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

Adolis Garcia has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.1-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.7-mph average.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Today, Josh Jung is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.3% rate (99th percentile).

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 56 games (+17.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Josh Jung has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.95 Units / 67% ROI)

Chicago White Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Chicago White Sox 3.44, Texas Rangers 4.84

• Date: June 14, 2025
• Venue: Globe Life Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Mike Vasil - White Sox
  • Jacob deGrom - Rangers

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