Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction – 8/7/2025
The Seattle Mariners will host the Chicago White Sox in the final game of their three-game series from T-Mobile Park. The Mariners have won the first two games of this series thanks to an offense that has found a spark. Before these teams face off for the final time in this series, continue reading to get my White Sox vs Mariners prediction for Thursday’s game.
Our White Sox vs Mariners Pick
- Pick: Seattle Mariners –1.5
- Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners
- Date & Time: Thursday, August 7, 2025, 4:10 p.m. EDT
- Starting Pitchers: Shane Smith (White Sox) vs Logan Gilbert (Mariners)
- Stadium: T‑Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
The starting pitchers in this game will be Shane Smith of the White Sox and Logan Gilbert of the Mariners. Smith is 3-7 with a 4.25 ERA. He has gone six straight starts without a win and will look to break that streak in this game. Gilbert is 3-4 and has a 3.45 ERA. He has given up three or more runs in each of his last two starts and will need to be a little sharper in this game.
Key Players
- Mariners: Eugenio Suárez and Josh Naylor inject much-needed power in the lineup around Cal Raleigh. They will need to punish any team that pitches around Raleigh.
- White Sox: Luis Robert Jr. has continued to excel since returning. Prospects like Colson Montgomery and Edgar Quero will look to secure their futures with this team by playing well late in this season.
Recent team streaks
- The White Sox have lost three games in a row coming into Thursday afternoon.
- Seattle has won three games in a row and four of their last five heading into this series finale.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suárez | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Josh Naylor | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Logan Gilbert | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Mariners lead the season series between these teams by a 4-1 margin.
- This is the final game of the regular season series between these American League teams.
- Chicago is 20-36 in day games this year.
- The Mariners are 25-17 in their day games for the year.
White Sox vs Mariners Model Projection
Score Projection: Mariners 6 – White Sox 3
Win Probability: Mariners 68%, White Sox 32%
Final Thoughts
The Mariners had the deeper lineup before they brought in Suarez and Naylor. The mismatch between them and the White Sox has only grown since then. I think that the power bats of Seattle will punish Shane Smith and that the Mariners will cover the runline as favorites.
