Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction – 7/1/2025

In tonight’s game from Dodger Stadium, the Chicago White Sox (28‑56) will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (53‑32). First pitch is scheduled for July 1, 2025 at 10:10 p.m. ET. The pitching matchup features Chicago’s Shane Smith (3‑5, 3.37 ERA) going up against Dodgers’ ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto (7‑6, 2.61 ERA). With Los Angeles commanding the NL West and boasting a dominant home record, this game is expected to be lopsided. Continue reading to see if I agree, as I make my White Sox vs Dodgers prediction.

Our White Sox vs Dodgers Pick

Pick: Dodgers -1.5

Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers
• Date & Time: Tuesday, July 1, 2025 – 10:10 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers: Shane Smith vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto
• Stadium: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
• Broadcast: SportsNet LA and CHSN

Key Storylines

Pitching form

• Yamamoto brings consistency with a 2.61 ERA, 10.1 K/9, and .196 opponent average. His last outing saw him deliver 5 shutout innings against the Colorado Rockies. He’s logged seven scoreless starts this season.
• Smith has a respectable 3.37 ERA and 1.27 WHIP but limited longevity, averaging under five innings per start. His last start saw him allow five earned runs in just two frames.

Bullpen usage

The Dodgers have logged a 4.65 bullpen ERA over the past ten games, but can preserve arms behind Yamamoto’s expected deep outing. Chicago’s bullpen is untested in L.A., with minimal length from Smith heightening reliance on the bullpen in the final five innings.

Recent team streaks

• Dodgers: five of last six games have been wins, including a 5‑1 victory over Kansas City.
• White Sox: just snapped a brief two‑game losing streak against the Giants but remain 9-32 on the road.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• Dodgers are 65 % as moneyline favorites.
• White Sox are 33 % as ML underdogs.
• H2H: Dodgers swept them last season in Chicago, dominating the series 3‑0.

White Sox vs Dodgers Model Projection

Score Projection: White Sox 2 – Dodgers 5

Win Probability: Dodgers 69 %, White Sox 31 %

Final Thoughts

The combination of Yamamoto’s dominant pitching, Dodgers’ strong home form, and Chicago’s offensive struggles makes Los Angeles on the run line an appealing angle to me. I expect a convincing Dodger win, likely by multiple runs, making the runline the smartest play. Yamamoto’s strikeout props also stand out, especially with Chicago’s last-in-MLB strikeout rate.