Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick – 7/3/2025

On July 3, the Chicago White Sox venture to Dodger Stadium to face the surging Los Angeles Dodgers in a late-night interleague showdown. The White Sox, battling a poor 28–58 record, hope to upset the dominant Dodgers (55–32) in the third game of this series. Here, I break down whether or not I think that will happen and give you my White Sox vs Dodgers prediction for Thursday night in LA.

Our White Sox vs Dodgers Pick

• Pick: Dodgers -1.5
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers
• Date & Time: Thursday, July 3, 2025, 10:10 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers: Aaron Civale vs Dustin May
• Stadium: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
• Broadcast: SportsNet LA and CHSN

Key Storylines

Pitching form

Aaron Civale has struggled since joining Chicago, posting a 4.74 ERA and 1.50 WHIP, with things looking worse than that across his first three starts with the Sox.

Dustin May, with a 4–5 record and 4.68 ERA, has a more favorable profile at home (3.85 ERA at Dodger Stadium vs 5.42 on the road). He’s struck out 75 batters in 82.2 innings and posted 6 strong innings in his last start, and will look to feast on a weak Chicago lineup tonight.

Bullpen usage

The Dodgers’ bullpen has a 4.18 collective ERA, which is below average but not a disaster by any means. In contrast, Chicago’s relievers are slightly better with a 4.07 ERA, but I don’t see that being enough to make up for the talent gap everywhere else in this matchup.

Recent team streaks

• Dodgers have won three straight and are 32–14 at home.
• White Sox are a dismal 9–34 away and have lost two straight games.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• Dodgers are 8–2 as ML favorites in their last 10 games.
• LA has hit the over in 56.5% of their games, White Sox have hit the over in 45.7% of their games.

White Sox vs Dodgers Model Projection

Score Projection: Dodgers 5 – White Sox 3

Win Probability: Dodgers 70%, White Sox 30%

Final Thoughts

This appears to be a matchup heavily tilted toward Los Angeles. May’s home success against Civale’s shaky command, combined with superior offensive firepower, supports a confident bet on the Dodgers taking this one by two or more runs. The runline offers value over the inflated moneyline, while Ohtani on total bases and Civale’s strikeout prop also stand out. Expect a comfortable win for the home team and a clean runline cover.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.