Chicago White Sox at San Francisco Giants Pick & Prediction – 8/19/2024

• Date: August 19, 2024
• Venue: Oracle Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jonathan Cannon - White Sox
  • Kyle Harrison - Giants

Betting Odds

Chicago White Sox vs San Francisco Giants Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Chicago White Sox vs San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

As the San Francisco Giants prepare to face off against the Chicago White Sox on August 19, 2024, both teams come into the matchup with starkly different seasons. The Giants, sitting at .500 with a 63-63 record, are having an average year, while the White Sox are struggling immensely with a dismal 30-95 record, marking one of the worst seasons in recent memory. The magnitude of this game is heightened by the fact that it's the first in the series between these two teams, and the Giants are a considerable favorite with a moneyline of -230.

On the other side, the White Sox will send out Jonathan Cannon, who has also struggled, holding a 4.02 ERA. Both pitchers project to allow a similar number of earned runs, but Cannon has been worse in terms of strikeouts and walks. With the Giants' potent bullpen ranked 1st in MLB, the pressure is on the White Sox to find a way to score against a team that has shown resilience despite their average record.

Overall, the Giants' offensive capabilities, ranked 14th in MLB, paired with the struggles of the White Sox and their 30th-ranked bullpen, paint a picture that heavily favors San Francisco as they look to capitalize on this matchup.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

Placing in the 17th percentile, Jonathan Cannon notched an 8.8% Swinging Strike rate this year.

• Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.

Miguel Vargas is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of San Francisco (#1-best of all teams on the slate today).

• This player's skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team's defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago White Sox' bullpen profiles as the worst among all the teams in the game.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

Kyle Harrison projects for an average of 1.5 walks in today's game, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Heliot Ramos has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 55 games at home (+7.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.95 Units / 47% ROI)
• Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+8.20 Units / 29% ROI)

Chicago White Sox vs San Francisco Giants Prediction

Final Score: Chicago White Sox 3.9 vs San Francisco Giants 4.99

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.