Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels Pick For 9/16/2024

• Date: September 16, 2024
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jonathan Cannon - White Sox
  • Reid Detmers - Angels

Betting Odds

Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview

As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to host the Chicago White Sox on September 16, 2024, both teams are having dismal seasons, with the Angels at 60-89 and the White Sox at a staggering 35-115. The Angels, despite their struggles, are heavily favored with a moneyline of -185, indicating an implied win probability of 63%.

This matchup marks the first game of the series, and the Angels will look to Reid Detmers, who has had an inconsistent year. Although Detmers is currently ranked 125th among starting pitchers in MLB, his 3.80 xFIP suggests he has been unlucky, potentially allowing him to improve in this outing. He projects to pitch 5.5 innings, allowing an average of 2.3 earned runs while striking out 6.5 batters. Detmers faces a White Sox offense that ranks 30th in MLB, making him a favorable option in this matchup.

On the other side, Jonathan Cannon will take the mound for Chicago. With a 4.56 ERA and an unimpressive Win/Loss record of 3-10 this season, Cannon is among the league's least effective pitchers. He projects to pitch 5.2 innings while allowing an average of 2.7 earned runs, but his strikeout rate of 4.6 is below average. This could spell trouble against an Angels offense that, while not stellar, ranks 22nd in home runs.

Both teams have shown poor performances recently, with the White Sox ranking dead last in multiple offensive categories, including team batting average and home runs. As the Angels' best hitter, Nolan Schanuel, carries momentum from a week where he recorded a .476 batting average and 10 hits, they could leverage this matchup to secure much-needed victories.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Jonathan Cannon is expected to tally an average of 4.3 strikeouts in today's matchup.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.

Lenyn Sosa has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .235 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .289 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

• xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player's batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.

The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Korey Lee, Luis Robert Jr., Yoan Moncada).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Reid Detmers has relied on his slider 7.9% less often this year (24.1%) than he did last year (32%).

• Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.

Zach Neto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

• The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Angels' bullpen grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams in the majors.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+5.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 away games (+7.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• Bryan Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+7.10 Units / 118% ROI)

Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Final Score: Chicago White Sox 3.88 vs Los Angeles Angels 4.52

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