Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction – 8/12/2025
The Chicago Cubs and Toronto Blue Jays will face one another in the first game of a three-game series on Tuesday night. Both teams come into Tuesday’s action occupying a playoff position and they will look to get a statement win to set the tone in this series. To get my breakdown of this game, including my Cubs vs Blue Jays prediction, continue reading below.
Our Cubs vs Blue Jays Pick
- Pick: Blue Jays Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
- MLB Tuesday Bonus Bets: Today, use bet365 promo code ATSBONUS to bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets on today’s MLB action!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 12, 2025, 7:07 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Cubs – Ben Brown (5-7, 6.04 ERA)
- Blue Jays – José Berrios (8-4, 3.89 ERA)
- Stadium: Rogers Centre, Toronto
- Broadcast: TBS
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Ben Brown has struggled this season with a 6.04 ERA and has allowed 106 hits over 92.1 innings. His road numbers aren’t great and this will be his first career start against Toronto. Toronto’s José Berrios has been steadier with a 3.89 ERA across 136.2 innings. He has steadily delivered quality starts and his home form gives Toronto a distinct edge.
Key Players
Ian Happ, Seiya Suzuki, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and Kyle Tucker have brought power and consistency in the Cubs’ lineup. Suzuki and Crow-Armstrong have been especially dangerous with their power this year. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette lead a deep offensive group for the Blue Jays. Ernie Clement is hot with multiple home runs in recent games as well.
Recent team streaks
The Cubs are coming off a loss to the Cardinals and stand at 67-50. Chicago is 2-3 in their last five games. The Blue Jays are 69-50 after a win over the Dodgers on Sunday. They are 3-2 over their last five outings.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Ernie Clement | Over 0.5 Hits |
| Jose Berrios | Over 4.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first game in the season series between these two teams this year.
- Chicago is 31-28 on the road this season.
- Toronto has been dominant at home at 38-19 in 2025.
Cubs vs Blue Jays Model Projection
Score Projection: Blue Jays 5 – Cubs 4
Win Probability: Toronto 52%, Chicago 48%
Final Thoughts
This is a close contest on paper. But the combination of Berrios’ steadier starting pitching and home-field advantage gives Toronto the advantage. Offensive firepower from Guerrero Jr., Bichette, and Clement should help push the game over the total. Betting odds suggest a tight game, but I think the value is with the Blue Jays and will take them to get the win.
