Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Pick – 8/9/2025
The Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals will meet for the second time in their current three-game series on Saturday night. Chicago was shut out by St. Louis in the opening game of this series. The Cubbies will look to bounce back in this game to avoid their NL Central title hopes slipping further away. Before these NL Central rivals meet in St. Louis, continue reading to get my Cubs vs Cardinals prediction.
Our Cubs vs Cardinals Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 9, 2025, 7:15 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Colin Rea (Cubs) vs. Andre Pallante (Cardinals)
- Stadium: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
- Broadcast: FOX
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Colin Rea is 8-5 with a 4.23 ERA and he has been a reliable starter for the Cubs this season. He allowed only two hits over 6.2 innings in his last outing against the Cardinals on July 4. He will look to put together another strong performance against St. Louis this time around.
Andre Pallante is 6-8 with a 4.57 ERA for St. Louis. Pallante has struggled with consistency this season. His 1.32 WHIP indicates that he struggles at limiting baserunners. That could put him in dangerous positions against a potent Cubs lineup.
Playoff Implications
The Cubs enter Saturday five games back of the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central standings. Milwaukee is red-hot and has won seven games in a row. That puts the pressure on the Cubs to deliver tonight. Chicago is in the first Wild Card position in the National League. The Cardinals need to put together a winning streak in a hurry as they are 4.5 games behind the final Wild Card team in the NL.
Recent Team Streaks
The Cubs have lost three of their last four games. Those games all came against division opponents. Chicago dropped two of three to the Cincinnati Reds before losing their opener to the Cardinals. St. Louis has won two games in a row and three of their last four.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Willson Contreras | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Colin Rea | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The season series between the Cubs and Cardinals is tied 4-4.
- One of these teams has been shut out in three straight meetings between Chicago and St. Louis.
- Home teams have gone 5-3 when these teams have met in 2025.
Cubs vs Cardinals Model Projection
- Score Projection: Cubs 5 – Cardinals 3
- Win Probability: Cubs 55%, Cardinals 45%
Final Thoughts
My best bet for this rivalry game in the NL Central is for the Cubs and Cardinals to combine to stay under 8.5 total runs. At least one team has struggled offensively in each of the last few machups between these teams. With a solid starter in Rea on the mound for the Cubs, I think the Cardinals will come back to Earth offensively and we will get a low-scoring contest.
