Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Pick – 7/12/2025

The New York Yankees will host the Chicago Cubs in the second game of their three-game series on Saturday. The Yankees crushed the Cubs by an 11-0 margin in their series opener on Friday. We are not expected to see that many runs from New York on Saturday thanks to a very good pitching matchup. Here, I break down this interleague game and give you my Cubs vs Yankees prediction for Saturday afternoon in the Bronx.

Our Cubs vs Yankees Pick

  • Pick: Under 8 runs
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees
  • Date & Time: Saturday, July 12, 2025 at 1:05 PM ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Cubs – Matthew Boyd (L), Yankees – Max Fried (L)
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
  • Broadcast: YES, MARQ, MLB Network

Key Storylines

  • Dominant Left-Handers: Boyd and Fried are both All-Star caliber. They have ERAs of 2.52 and 2.27, respectively. Fried leads MLB in wins with 11 and has been outstanding at home.
  • Momentum Matters: New York is riding a five-game win streak entering this game. That includes a dominant 11-0 win Friday over the Cubs.
  • Pitching Depth: The Yankees enter this game in a better position with their bullpen after the Cubs gave up 11 runs to New York last night. But one big offensive showing on either side today could change the balance of power with these bullpens.

Recent Team Streaks

  • Cubs: Chicago is 55-39 overall. But they have lost three of their last four games coming into this contest.
  • Yankees: The Yankees are on a five-game win streak. They are two games back of the Toronto Blue Jays for first place in the AL East.

Best Player Props

PlayerPropLine
Aaron JudgeHome runso0.5
Seiya SuzukiTotal baseso1.5
Max FriedStrikeoutso5.5
Matthew BoydStrikeoutso5.5

Cubs vs Yankees Model Projection

Score Projection: Cubs 3 – Yankees 4

Win Probability: Cubs 41%, Yankees 59%

Final Thoughts

My expectation for this game is that we are going to see a pitcher’s duel between Boyd and Fried. Both of those left-handers have been excellent this year. There is plenty of firepower in both lineups offensively here. But I’m betting on the starting pitching winning the day and for this game to go under the total of eight runs.


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Home MLB Picks Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Pick – 7/12/2025