Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins Prediction – 7/9/2025

The Minnesota Twins were dominant in the first game of their series with the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday. Chicago will look to even the score with Minnesota in their second meeting on Wednesday night. Chicago is playing much better baseball than the Twins this season. But Minnesota proved it can still grind out wins at home last night. Here, I break down this interleague game and give you my Cubs vs Twins prediction.

Our Cubs vs Twins Pick

• Pick: Cubs moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins
• Date & Time: Wednesday, July 9, 2025, 7:40 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Cubs – Cade Horton (3–2, 4.15 ERA)
  • Twins – David Festa (2–3, 5.48 ERA)
• Stadium: Target Field
• Broadcast: MNNT and MARQ

Key Storylines

Pitching form

• Cade Horton has performed well in his rookie season. He has a 3–2 record and 4.15 ERA going into this start. He is giving up over a hit per inning and will need to reel that number in as he gains experience.
• David Festa owns a 2–3 record with a 5.48 ERA. He has been inconsistent since coming back to the Twins rotation in June. Another shaky outing could be costly to the Twins at home today.

Bullpen usage

It was the Twins that won the bullpen battle in the first game of this series. Minnesota won that game 8-1, with their relief pitching helping to keep the bats of the Cubs in check throughout. Chicago will need to respond to avoid losing a second game in a row.

Recent team streaks

• The Cubs have won 6 of their last 10 games after dropping Tuesday’s game.
• The Twins have won 3 of their last 4 contests.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• Minnesota has a 1-0 head-to-head edge between these teams so far this year.
• Chicago is 32-18 in night games. The Twins are 24-20 at night in 2025.
• The Cubs have gone over the total in 56% of their games this season. That ranks third in MLB.

Cubs vs Twins Model Projection

• Score Projection: Cubs 5 – Twins 3
• Win Probability: Cubs 65% / Twins 35%

Final Thoughts

I expect a bounce-back performance from the Chicago Cubs tonight. They struggled to get their offense going in Tuesday’s series opener with Minnesota. I think that changes in this game against a struggling pitcher in Festa. Look for Horton to outperform Festa early in this game and for the Cubs’ bullpen to hang onto the win for them late.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.