Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins Prediction – 7/10/2025

The Chicago Cubs and Minnesota Twins will finish their three-game series with an afternoon game on Thursday. Minnesota has taken the first two games of this series. They will look to secure the sweep at home, but the Cubs have other ideas. Before first pitch in this interleague matchup, continue reading to get my Cubs vs Twins prediction for July 10.

Our Cubs vs Twins Pick

• Pick: Cubs moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins
• Date & Time: Thursday, July 10, 2025 at 1:10 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Cubs – Colin Rea (6‑3, 4.13 ERA)
  • Twins – Chris Paddack (3‑7, 4.64 ERA)
• Stadium: Target Field, Minneapolis
• Broadcast: MLB Network, MNNT, MARQ

Key Storylines

Pitching Form

• Colin Rea: Rea has a 4.13 ERA and modest 6.35 K/9. He is the better of the two starters in this game but has shown the tendency to be vulnerable too.
• Chris Paddack: Paddack is struggling at 3‑7 with a 4.64 ERA. His hits allowed and strikeout numbers are very similar to those of Rea. But Paddack has less of a margin for error given the quality of these two teams.

Bullpen Usage

It has been the bullpen of the Twins that has had the upper hand in this matchup this week. Chicago has scored just three runs across the first 18 innings of this series. That means Minnesota’s bullpen is doing an excellent job and will look to continue doing so here.

Recent Team Streaks

• Cubs: The Cubs have lost two games in a row and have lost three of their last four games.
• Twins: Minnesota has won the first two games of this series. They are 4-1 in their last five games.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• The Cubs are 24-22 on the road this season. They have done most of their damage at home.
• The Twins are 26-18 at home despite being under .500 as a whole this year.
• Minnesota leads the season series between these teams 2-0.
• Minnesota is 46-46 on the runline this season. Chicago is 44-48 on the runline for the season.

Cubs vs Twins Model Projection

Score Projection: Cubs 5 – Twins 4

Win Probability: Cubs 51%, Twins 49%

Final Thoughts

The Cubs have a slight edge in the starting pitching department heading into this game. Chicago should break out of their recent offensive funk against Paddack. Meanwhile, I’m expecting some regression out of the Twins bullpen today. Look for the Cubs to salvage a game from this series by winning a one-run game on Thursday afternoon in Minneapolis.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.