Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction – 7/28/2025
The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers are set to open a three-game series on Monday at American Family Field in Milwaukee. Both teams will enter the game with identical 62-43 records and in a tie for first place in the NL Central. Before these teams play a game that will be crucial for their playoff aspirations, continue reading to get my Cubs vs Brewers prediction.
Our Cubs vs Brewers Pick
- Pick: Brewers to win
- Confidence: 4 stars
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Date & Time: Monday, July 28, 2025, 7:40 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Matthew Boyd (Cubs) vs Jacob Misiorowski (Brewers)
- Stadium: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: Marquee Sports Network (Cubs), Bally Sports Wisconsin (Brewers)
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Matthew Boyd has been exceptional for the Cubs. He has an 11-3 record with a 2.20 ERA and 108 strikeouts over 118.2 innings. His recent games have been impressive. He has a 0.67 ERA in four July starts. Boyd’s consistency and ability to limit damage make him as good an option for Chicago as they could ask for.
Jacob Misiorowski is a 23-year-old rookie who has been a revelation this season. Misiorowski has a 4-1 record and a 2.45 ERA and has demonstrated poise beyond his years. Misiorowski is 3-0 with a 0.56 ERA in three starts at American Family Field. He will look to dominate at home again here.
Key Players
- Chicago Cubs: Kyle Tucker has been a consistent offensive threat by providing power and run production.
- Milwaukee Brewers: Catcher William Contreras has been a key contributor both behind the plate and at the plate.
Recent Team Streaks
- Chicago Cubs: The Cubs have won two straight games going into this contest. They took two out of three games against the Chicago White Sox in their last series.
- Milwaukee Brewers: Milwaukee is 2-3 in their last five games. They lost their last series to the Miami Marlins but did win the final game of that three-game set.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| William Contreras | Over 0.5 RBI |
| Matthew Boyd | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Cubs lead the season series between these teams 3-2.
- Chicago is 29-24 on the road this season.
- Milwaukee is 34-19 at home for the year.
Cubs vs Brewers Model Projection
- Score Projection: Brewers 4 – Cubs 3
- Win Probability: Brewers 53%, Cubs 47%
Final Thoughts
These teams are very evenly matched coming into this contest. Both teams have excellent starting pitchers throwing in this game as well. As hard as this game is to call, I am going to go with the Milwaukee Brewers to get the victory at home. Misiorowski has been lethal at home this year and he should lead his team to a win in a low-scoring game.
