Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies Pick – 8/31/2025
The Chicago Cubs and Colorado Rockies have gone in two very different directions this season. The Cubs are a playoff contender in the National League and the Rockies have by far the worst record in baseball. These National League adversaries will close out a three-game series in Colorado on Sunday afternoon. For a full breakdown of this contest, continue reading to get my Cubs vs Rockies prediction below.
Our Cubs vs Rockies Pick
- Pick: Cubs -2.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 31, 2025, 3:10 PM EDT
- Starting Pitchers: Matthew Boyd (Cubs) vs Tanner Gordon (Rockies)
- Stadium: Coors Field, Denver, CO
- Broadcast: COLR, MARQ
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Matthew Boyd (12-7, 2.82 ERA) takes the mound for the Cubs today. Boyd’s consistency has been a cornerstone for Chicago’s pitching staff. His 1.06 WHIP confirms that he has done a good job of keeping the basepaths clear for the most part. Colorado’s Tanner Gordon is 5-5 with a 6.44 ERA. Gordon has struggled with consistency and might not have an easy time against the dangerous lineup of Chicago here.
Key Players
- Chicago Cubs: Pete Crow-Armstrong has 28 home runs this season and has been a reliable power source for the Cubs.
- Colorado Rockies: Hunter Goodman is leading the Rockies with 26 home runs. He continues to be a bright spot in Colorado’s lineup despite their struggles this season.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Cubs have won two games in a row going into this series finale from Coors Field.
- The Rockies have lost four straight games and they have dropped to 60 games below .500 with a month to go in the regular season.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | Over 5.5 strikeouts |
| Tanner Gordon | Under 4.5 strikeouts |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Over 0.5 home runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Cubs hold a 5-0 lead in their season series with the Rockies.
- This is the final game on the schedule between these teams this season.
- Three of Chicago’s five wins over Colorado have come by one run.
Cubs vs Rockies Model Projection
- Score Projection: Cubs 7 – Rockies 4
- Win Probability: Cubs 57%, Rockies 43%
Final Thoughts
The runline setup is a little trickier than it is in most games. The Cubs are favored by 2.5 runs instead of the standard 1.5-run runline. Still, I think that the Cubs will cover the runline as a favorite in this contest. Boyd has been excellent on the mound for Chicago this season. That should continue here against a dismal Rockies lineup, even if this game is being held at Coors Field. I’ll take the favorite to win and cover in this one.
