Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Prediction – 9/9/2025
The Chicago Cubs and Atlanta Braves will continue a three-game series on Tuesday night in Atlanta. Rookie Cade Horton will take the mound for the Cubs against a more experienced Spencer Strider. Strider will look to get the Braves a second win in a row at home but will face a stern test against a good Cubs team. Here, I break down this National League matchup and give you my Cubs vs Braves prediction for Tuesday’s game.
Our Cubs vs Braves Pick
- Pick: Chicago Cubs moneyline
- Confidence: 2/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves
- Date & Time: Tuesday, September 9, 2025, 7:15 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Cade Horton vs Spencer Strider
- Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: Marquee Sports Network, Bally Sports South
Key Storylines
- Cade Horton has been outstanding since the middle of the season. The Cubs have consistently converted his outings into wins.
- Spencer Strider has struggled for the Braves this year and will get another chance to prove himself in this contest.
- Chicago enters this game at the top of the NL Wild Card standings and will try to move closer to the postseason with a win in this contest.
Pitching matchup
Cade Horton carries a 2.78 ERA in this contest. His recent form has featured crisp fastball command and a slider he can land to both edges of the plate. Even when the strikeout totals land in the moderate range, he limits traffic on the basepaths, which plays especially well in Truist Park at night.
Spencer Strider has had a disappointing season for the Braves. He is 5-12 and has a 4.97 ERA. Strider was once one of the top strikeout producers in baseball but he has averaged just over a strikeout per inning this year. His decline in strikeouts has resulted in more balls in play and more runs allowed than he used to concede.
Recent team streaks
- Chicago has lost three games in a row coming into this contest.
- Atlanta ended a two-game losing streak with their win over the Cubs on Monday.
Best Player Props
| Category | Player | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Strikeouts | Cade Horton | Over 5.5 |
| Total bases | Matt Olson | Under 1.5 |
| Total bases | Seiya Suzuki | Over 1.5 |
| Total bases | Nico Hoerner | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Cubs and Braves have gone 2-2 against each other so far this season.
- Atlanta has won two games in a row over the Cubs going into this contest.
- The Cubs are 37-35 on the road for the year.
- Atlanta is 35-35 at home after their win at home on Monday night.
Cubs vs Braves Model Projection
Score Projection: Chicago 5 – Atlanta 3
Win Probability: Chicago 61%, Atlanta 39%
Final Thoughts
A couple of years ago, the Braves would have been heavy favorites at home with Spencer Strider on the mound against a rookie pitcher. But those Braves are a distant memory when compared to this year’s struggling team. Atlanta’s struggles on the year should continue in this game, as I think the Cubs will ride Horton to another win.
