Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals Prediction – 7/5/2025

The Boston Red Sox and Washington Nationals will face off on Saturday, July 5, 2025 at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C. The Sox come off an 11‑2 blowout win over the Nats on Friday, while Washington is eager to rebound from that disappointing game. I have broken this game down from all angles and you can continue reading to get my Red Sox vs Nationals prediction for Saturday afternoon.

Our Red Sox vs Nationals Pick

• Pick: Boston Red Sox moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals
• Date & Time: Saturday, July 5, 2025 – 4:05 p.m. EDT
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Boston – Walker Buehler (5‑6, 6.45 ERA)
  • Washington – Mitchell Parker (5‑8, 4.73 ERA)
• Stadium: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
• Broadcast: MASN and NESN

Key Storylines

Pitching form

Buehler’s season has been shaky, with a 6.45 ERA and just one scoreless start. His June was brutal, as he had an 11.07 ERA for the month. Parker has also struggled at times this season, entering today’s start with a 4.73 ERA. Whichever pitcher can be more reliable today will give their team a huge boost.

Bullpen usage

Boston’s bullpen is the superior of the two going into this game. They also have the advantage of not having been battered yesterday, as the Nationals couldn’t keep Boston off the scoreboard throughout Friday’s meeting between these teams.

Recent team streaks

• Both teams are 3-2 over their last five games
• Boston has scored 10 or more runs in two of its last four games.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• Boston is 43-46 on the runline overall and 42-45-2 on totals.
• Washington is 45-43 on the runline and 44-41-3 on totals
• Boston won the lone head-to-head matchup between these teams this season yesterday.

Red Sox vs Nationals Model Projection

Score Projection: Boston 6 – Washington 4

Win Probability: Boston 55%, Washington 45%

Final Thoughts

Though Buehler is off his peak form, Boston’s lineup is red-hot, as evidenced by yesterday’s 11‑run outburst. Consistent hitting from Wilyer Abreu, Trevor Story, Rafaela, and Duran should help them continue that trend today. Washington’s bullpen is a weak link. I like the Red Sox to pick up a second straight win over the Nationals here and to move to .500 on the season at 45-45 with that victory.

Final Pick: Boston Red Sox moneyline – take it with confidence.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.