Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres Prediction – 8/9/2025
The Boston Red Sox and San Diego Padres will face off on Saturday night at Petco Park in San Diego. The Red Sox got a win as an underdog in the first game of this series thanks to an offensive outburst against a good starting pitcher. They will look for a repeat performance tonight while the Padres look to even this series at a game apiece. Keep reading to get my thoughts on this game, including my Red Sox vs Padres prediction.
Red Sox vs Padres Pick
- Pick: Red Sox Moneyline
- Confidence: 2.5/5
- MLB Bonus Bets: Use bet365 promo code ATSBONUS to bet $5 and win $150 in bonus bets, win or lose! Click the Claim Bonus button to get started.
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs. San Diego Padres
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 9, 2025, 8:40 PM EDT
- Starting Pitchers: Lucas Giolito (BOS) vs. Michael King (SD)
- Stadium: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: NESN
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Both starting pitchers have been reliable this season for their respective teams. Lucas Giolito is 8-2 and has a 3.57 ERA for the year. He will be opposed by San Diego’s Michael King. King is 4-2 and has a 2.59 ERA. Both of these pitchers are capable of great things when they are at their best and the starter who does better in this game will give their team a huge advantage.
Playoff Picture
Both of these teams are currently occupying Wild Card spots in their respective leagues. The Red Sox took over the top Wild Card spot in the American League from the New York Yankees. The Padres are in the second Wild Card position in the National League. Both teams would love a win to strengthen their grip on a playoff spot here.
Recent Team Streaks
- Boston Red Sox: The Red Sox have won 8 of their last 10 games and are playing some of the best baseball in the league recently.
- San Diego Padres: The Padres have won 7 of their last 10 games and will look to bounce back from Friday’s defeat.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Trevor Story | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Manny Machado | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Michael King | Over 6.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Red Sox won the only game in the season series between these teams so far.
- The first game of this series went over the total thanks to the Red Sox scoring 10 runs.
Red Sox vs Padres Model Projection
- Score Projection: Red Sox 5 – Padres 4
- Win Probability: Red Sox 51%, Padres 49%
Final Thoughts
Both of these teams are playing exceptionally well. The Padres have home-field advantage here. But the Red Sox are playing so well that I still feel compelled to take them as a slight underdog. Expect Giolito to continue to pitch well for Boston and for the Sox to grab their second straight victory in San Diego.
