Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction – 8/22/2025
The Boston Red Sox won the first game of their rivalry series against the New York Yankees on Thursday night. These AL East foes will do battle in the Bronx again on Friday with a ton on the line. These teams are separated by a half-game in the standings and could trade places in the AL East hierarchy by the end of tonight. For a full preview of this game, including my Red Sox vs Yankees prediction, continue reading below.
Our Yankees vs Red Sox Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
- Date & Time: Friday, August 22, 2025, 7:05 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Yankees – Max Fried (13-5, 3.26 ERA)
- Red Sox – Brayan Bello (9-6, 3.23 ERA)
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: MLB Network, Prime Video, NESN
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Max Fried has delivered a strong season so far for the Yankees. He enters this game with a record of 13-5 and an ERA of 3.26. He carries a solid track record against Boston and will look to beat them in this important matchup. Boston’s Brayan Bello has also had a good season at 9-6 with a 3.23 ERA. He will need to navigate the power hitters in the Yankees lineup but has proven himself more than capable throughout the year.
Key Players
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. will be a key player for the Yankees again in this contest. He scored a run and drove in a run in New York’s loss to Boston on Thursday.
- Rookie Roman Anthony is coming off a career game where he hit a home run and had three RBI against the Yankees.
Recent team streaks
- The Yankees had a five-game winning streak snapped by the rival Red Sox last night.
- Boston ended a three-game losing streak by beating the Yankees on Thursday.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Boston has beaten New York six times in their seven meetings so far this season.
- The Yankees haven’t beaten Boston since their first meeting of the season on June 6.
- The over hit in the first game of this series on Thursday night.
Red Sox vs Yankees Model Projection
Score Projection: Yankees 5 – Red Sox 3
Win Probability: Yankees 62%, Red Sox 38%
Final Thoughts
I think we are in for a low-scoring game between the Yankees and Red Sox tonight. Both starting pitchers in this game have been very good this season and I see that continuing even against some tough competition here. I’ll take the under in this contest with the expectation that Fried and Bello both continue their strong runs in what should be a tight game throughout in the Bronx.
