Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction – 7/29/2025
The Boston Red Sox are set to face the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday night at Target Field in Minneapolis. The Twins won the first game of this series at home on Monday night. They will look to replicate that performance but will need to figure out their pitching situation to do so. Here, I break down this matchup and bring you my Red Sox vs Twins prediction.
Our Red Sox vs Twins Pick
- Pick: Red Sox Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins |
| Date & Time | July 29, 2025, 7:40 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Lucas Giolito (BOS) vs. TBD (MIN) |
| Stadium | Target Field, Minneapolis, MN |
| Broadcast | NESN, FD Sports North |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Form: The Red Sox will go with Lucas Giolito on the mound for this game. Giolito is pitching well this season. He is 6-2 with a 3.97 ERA. The Twins have yet to decide on a starting pitcher for this game. Their lack of stability on the mound could negatively impact them in this game.
Bullpen Usage: The Red Sox have the bullpen advantage going into this game. The Sox rank fourth in the league in bullpen ERA. But the Twins did get the better of the bullpen battle on Monday in a 5-4 win that was tightly contested until the final out.
Team Momentum: The Red Sox are 3-2 in their last five games despite losing on Monday to the Twins. The Twins are 2-3 in their last five games and will look for a second win in a row in this contest.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Trevor Story | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- The Twins lead the season series between these teams 3-1.
- Minnesota has won three straight games over Boston since dropping the first matchup between them in 2025.
- Boston has failed to reach five runs in three straight games against the Twins.
Red Sox vs Twins Model Projection
Projected Score: Red Sox 5 – Twins 3
Win Probability: Red Sox 60% | Twins 40%
Final Thoughts
The Twins have had the upper hand in the season series between these teams this year. But the Red Sox have a definitive edge in starting pitching in this game. I think we see Lucas Giolito deliver another quality start as the Red Sox should get a key road win.
