Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction – 6/25/2025

On June 25, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Boston Red Sox at Angel Stadium for the third game of their series. Both teams sit below .500, with the Angels at 39-40 and the Red Sox at 40-41, indicating that neither is in top form this season. However, the Angels' recent performance has been slightly more encouraging, as they look to leverage their home advantage.

Los Angeles is projected to start left-hander Yusei Kikuchi, who ranks 126th among MLB starters according to the leading MLB projection system. While Kikuchi has struggled with hits allowed, projecting an alarming 5.4 hits per game, he compensates with a decent strikeout rate of 6.9 strikeouts per game. His ability to pitch an average of 5.7 innings and allow 2.7 earned runs is critical as he faces off against Richard Fitts of the Red Sox, who is considered one of the worst pitchers in baseball. Fitts is projected to last only 4.6 innings while allowing 2.8 earned runs and 4.9 hits, which could spell trouble for Boston.

With a Game Total set at a high 9.0 runs, betting markets indicate a close contest, and the Angels' moneyline is currently -125. This matchup presents a valuable opportunity for Los Angeles to build momentum and gain an edge in this tight series.

Quick Takes Boston Red Sox:

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

Extreme groundball hitters like Romy Gonzalez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Yusei Kikuchi.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Boston Red Sox batters collectively rank among the elite in MLB this year () when it comes to their 90.7-mph average exit velocity.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Yusei Kikuchi is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #9 HR venue in the league today.

• This pitcher's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Jo Adell has strong power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Richard Fitts doesn't generate many whiffs (21st percentile K%) — great news for Adell.

• If he is less likely to strikeout, he'll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 11th-best batter in the game.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games (+13.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 32 away games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jo Adell has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Boston Red Sox 4.49, Los Angeles Angels 5.05

• Date: June 25, 2025
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Richard Fitts - Red Sox
  • Yusei Kikuchi - Angels

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