Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction – 6/24/2025

As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to face the Boston Red Sox on June 24, 2025, at Angel Stadium, both teams come into this matchup with average records of 38-40 and 40-40, respectively. The Angels won their last game against the Red Sox by a score of 9-5, marking a solid performance for a team that has struggled offensively this season. Despite their offensive woes, ranking 24th overall and 29th in batting average, the Angels have showcased power, sitting 4th in home runs.

On the mound, Tyler Anderson is projected to take the ball for the Angels, and while he has had an uneven season with a 2-5 record and a 4.56 ERA, recent projections suggest he might allow around 2.9 earned runs today. His last outing on June 19 was uneventful, where he pitched 6 innings and gave up 4 earned runs. The strikeout numbers (5.5 projected today) reflect his low-strikeout profile, which might play to his advantage against a Red Sox team that ranks 3rd in strikeouts.

Garrett Crochet, starting for Boston, presents a challenge. His 2.20 ERA and elite ranking as the 6th best starting pitcher in MLB indicate he’s been in top form, though he also faces a powerful Angels offense. Crochet's projection of 2.3 earned runs today suggests he will likely keep the Angels' lineup at bay.

With the Angels being significant underdogs with a moneyline of +165, there's potential for value considering their recent win. The projections hint at a possible closer contest than the odds suggest, particularly against a Red Sox bullpen that ranks 9th in MLB. As both teams look to capitalize, the outcome may hinge on the effectiveness of each pitcher and the ability of the Angels to leverage their home-run prowess.

Quick Takes Boston Red Sox:

Garrett Crochet is an extreme groundball pitcher (45.6% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #9 HR venue in the league — in this matchup.

• This pitcher's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.

Romy Gonzalez's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 94.5-mph now compared to just 92.3-mph then.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Boston's 90.7-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the best in MLB: #1 overall.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Given his large reverse platoon split, Tyler Anderson should be in good shape squaring off against 7 bats in the projected lineup who hit from the other side in today's outing.

• A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Extreme flyball bats like Mike Trout generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Mike Trout projects as the 11th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 48 games (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
• Garrett Crochet has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 53% ROI)

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Boston Red Sox 4.62, Los Angeles Angels 3.81

• Date: June 24, 2025
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Garrett Crochet - Red Sox
  • Tyler Anderson - Angels

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